CAR @ BUF 1–4 · 2025-11-23

Team	1	2	3	SOG
CAR	1	0	0	30
BUF	1	2	1	21

Story

– / 13

Result BUF 4–1Call No lean · CAR 68%xG 3.71–3.99 · deserved BUF 55%Swing Quinn +21 2nd 3:55Method

Goals and penalties with BUF win probability
Time	Event	BUF win before	BUF win after
1st 4:22	CAR penalty · A. Nikishin · delaying game puck over glass · 2 min
1st 5:51	Goal BUF · A. Tuch (PP)	33%	50%
1st 7:55	BUF penalty · J. Zucker · delaying game unsuccessful challenge · 2 min
1st 12:16	CAR penalty · S. Aho · roughing · 2 min
1st 12:55	BUF penalty · R. Dahlin · tripping · 2 min
1st 14:36	Goal CAR · S. Gostisbehere (PP)	53%	34%
1st 16:27	CAR penalty · S. Aho · slashing · 2 min
1st 18:08	BUF penalty · A. Tuch · slashing · 2 min
2nd 3:55	Goal BUF · J. Quinn	35%	56%
2nd 5:26	BUF penalty · J. Dunne · tripping · 2 min
2nd 15:59	CAR penalty · W. Carrier · boarding · 2 min
2nd 18:36	Goal BUF · B. Malenstyn	65%	85%
3rd 19:38	Goal BUF · T. Thompson (EN)	100%	100%

On ice · final horn

CAR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
28W. CarrierL	0:22	8:54	15	0	0	0	2	3	2	0	0	–
50E. RobinsonL	0:22	13:45	16	0	0	0	2	6	0	1	0	0-1
77M. JankowskiL	0:22	15:23	22	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	9-6
21A. NikishinD	0:22	13:59	18	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	1	–
64J. NystromD	0:22	14:49	22	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	–
31F. AndersenG		57:24	SA20GA3SV%.850xGA2.96GSAx−0.04

BUF5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
19P. KrebsC	0:22	10:24	15	0	1	1	0	1	0	3	0	4-4
48T. KozakC	0:22	14:04	21	0	1	1	1	1	0	5	3	1-4
29B. MalenstynL	0:22	11:54	20	1	0	1	2	3	0	2	2	–
21C. TimminsD	0:36	22:04	26	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	3	–
23M. SamuelssonD	0:36	23:44	28	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	4	–
1U. LuukkonenG		60:00	SA30GA1SV%.967xGA3.71GSAx+2.71

Goals

1st
Alex Tuch(1)PP
R. McLeod (1), J. Doan (1)
xG 0.17wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 BUF1st 05:51+17.050%
Shayne Gostisbehere(1)PP
Unassisted
xG 0.10wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 14:36+18.766%
2nd
Jack Quinn(1)
R. McLeod (2), J. Zucker (1)
xG 0.08tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 BUF2nd 03:55+21.156%
Beck Malenstyn(1)
T. Kozak (1), P. Krebs (1)
xG 0.22wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 BUF2nd 18:36+20.085%
3rd
Tage Thompson(1)EN
Z. Benson (1)
xG 0.55wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–4 BUF3rd 19:38+0.0100%

Shots

CAR3.71 xG56 unblocked · 22 blocked56 unblocked · 22 blocked

BUF3.99 xG37 unblocked · 10 blocked37 unblocked · 10 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

CARBUF1Goals43.71xG3.9930Shots2156Unblocked3778Attempts475High danger61/4Power play1/430Faceoffs2318Hits2710Blocks226Takeaways418Giveaways178PIM8

Skaters

Player

Player
19K. MillerK'Andre MillerD	23:18	0	0	1	5	0.16	−0.16	3	0	0	1	—	0	0
24S. JarvisSeth JarvisC	23:09	0	0	3	6	0.44	−0.44	4	0	1	0	100%	0	-2
20S. AhoSebastian AhoC	21:03	0	0	2	6	0.15	−0.15	2	0	0	2	69%	4	-2
26S. WalkerSean WalkerD	20:11	0	0	2	7	0.18	−0.18	1	1	0	1	—	0	-2
4S. GostisbehereShayne GostisbehereD	20:10	1	1	3	7	0.19	+0.81	2	0	1	2	—	0	-3
37A. SvechnikovAndrei SvechnikovR	19:35	0	0	5	10	0.62	−0.62	0	1	0	1	100%	0	-2
5J. ChatfieldJalen ChatfieldD	19:13	0	0	0	3	0.00	0.00	1	1	1	1	—	0	0
22L. StankovenLogan StankovenC	17:32	0	0	4	7	0.39	−0.39	1	0	0	0	44%	0	-1
53J. BlakeJackson BlakeR	17:14	0	0	3	4	0.44	−0.44	0	0	0	0	—	0	-2
27N. EhlersNikolaj EhlersL	16:33	0	0	0	2	0.13	−0.13	0	0	1	1	0%	0	-2
77M. JankowskiMark JankowskiL	15:23	0	0	0	1	0.02	−0.02	0	3	0	0	60%	0	0
64J. NystromJoel NystromD	14:49	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	1	—	0	0
21A. NikishinAlexander NikishinD	13:59	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	1	1	1	—	2	0
50E. RobinsonEric RobinsonL	13:45	0	0	2	6	0.32	−0.32	1	0	0	2	0%	0	0
71T. HallTaylor HallL	13:13	0	0	2	3	0.31	−0.31	0	0	1	1	—	0	0
48J. MartinookJordan MartinookL	12:45	0	0	0	4	0.15	−0.15	2	1	0	1	60%	0	0
28W. CarrierWilliam CarrierL	8:54	0	0	2	3	0.16	−0.16	0	0	0	1	—	2	0
6M. ReillyMike ReillyD	4:21	0	0	1	2	0.04	−0.04	0	1	0	0	—	0	0
CAR total		1	1	30	78	3.71	−2.71	18	9	6	16	57%	8

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Jarvis−0.14

Jankowski−0.19

Martinook−0.19

Blake−0.21

Carrier−0.25

Svechnikov−0.28

Hall−0.29

Stankoven−0.32

Robinson−0.34

Ehlers−0.34

Aho−0.64

Defence

Gostisbehere+0.29

Reilly+0.14

Chatfield+0.12

Walker+0.05

Miller−0.16

Nystrom−0.21

Nikishin−0.35

Goalie

Andersen−0.02

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Aho·Jarvis·Svechnikov	10:57	16	20	6	76.9%	7	4	0	1	0.91	0.62	59.6%	+0.29	7	1	88%
Ehlers·Stankoven·Blake	8:56	12	10	5	66.7%	5	4	0	1	0.29	0.32	47.2%	−0.03	3	0	100%
Robinson·Hall·Jankowski	6:28	10	4	7	36.4%	0	1	0	0	0.13	0.22	37.9%	−0.08	1	0	100%
Occasional · 9 groups
Carrier·Martinook·Blake	2:23	6	6	3	66.7%	4	2	0	0	0.48	0.09	84.2%	+0.39	0	1	0%
Carrier·Martinook·Jankowski	2:14	4	2	3	40.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.07	0.0%	−0.07	0	0	—
Robinson·Hall·Stankoven	1:34	4	2	3	40.0%	1	1	0	0	0.13	0.45	22.0%	−0.32	0	0	—
Carrier·Martinook·Stankoven	1:03	2	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.11	0.00	100.0%	+0.11	0	0	—
Hall·Stankoven·Blake	0:52	5	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.06	0.0%	−0.06	0	0	—
Hall·Aho·Jarvis	0:48	3	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.05	0.00	100.0%	+0.05	0	0	—
Ehlers·Aho·Jarvis	0:47	4	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.06	0.0%	−0.06	0	0	—
Carrier·Martinook·Robinson	0:44	3	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	1	0%
Ehlers·Robinson·Stankoven	0:42	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
CAR 5v5	43:54		55	35	61.1%	21	16	0	2	2.47	2.13	53.6%	+0.33

Goalies

Frederik Andersen

CAR · 57:24

Saves: 17/20
SV%: .850
xGA: 2.96
GSAx: −0.04

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	14/16	.875	2.13	+0.13
Power play	3/4	.750	0.82	−0.18
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.01	+0.01
High danger	1/3	.333	0.83	−1.17

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

BUF · 60:00

Saves: 29/30
SV%: .967
xGA: 3.71
GSAx: +2.71

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	22/22	1.000	2.89	+2.89
Power play	6/7	.857	0.72	−0.28
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.11	+0.11
High danger	5/5	1.000	1.24	+1.24

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Carolina Hurricanes

Minutes

23:18Miller
20:11Walker
20:10Gostisbehere
19:13Chatfield
14:49Nystrom
13:59Nikishin
4:21Reilly

23:09Jarvis
21:03Aho
19:35Svechnikov
17:32Stankoven
17:14Blake
16:33Ehlers
15:23Jankowski
13:45Robinson
13:13Hall
12:45Martinook
8:54Carrier

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCARBUF

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

GostisbehereD2 O7
WalkerD4 O5
ReillyD0 O0
MillerD3 O3
NikishinD1 O0
ChatfieldD4 O2
NystromD2 O0
AhoD1 O9
SvechnikovD1 O8
JarvisD1 O8
EhlersD0 O6
StankovenD0 O4
BlakeD1 O5
HallD0 O1
RobinsonD1 O1
MartinookD3 O1
CarrierD2 O0
JankowskiD4 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period