BUF @ COL 3–6 · 2025-11-13

Team	1	2	3	SOG
BUF	2	1	0	21
COL	3	1	2	34

Story

– / 15

Result COL 6–3Call No lean · COL 73%xG 2.52–5.14 · deserved COL 85%Swing Brindley +20 2nd 16:22Method

Goals and penalties with COL win probability
Time	Event	COL win before	COL win after
1st 0:52	Goal COL · M. Necas	72%	85%
1st 6:10	Goal COL · A. Lehkonen	85%	93%
1st 7:47	Goal BUF · B. Byram	93%	85%
1st 9:46	Goal COL · B. Nelson	85%	93%
1st 13:28	Goal BUF · J. Greenway	93%	85%
1st 19:07	COL penalty · R. Colton · delaying game unsuccessful challenge · 2 min
2nd 6:30	COL penalty · G. Landeskog · hooking · 2 min
2nd 8:45	BUF penalty · O. Power · tripping · 2 min
2nd 13:50	COL penalty · N. MacKinnon · slashing · 2 min
2nd 14:56	Goal BUF · T. Thompson (PP)	86%	66%
2nd 16:22	Goal COL · G. Brindley	66%	86%
3rd 3:01	BUF penalty · T. Kozak · high sticking · 2 min
3rd 14:14	COL penalty · P. Kelly · high sticking · 2 min
3rd 16:53	Goal COL · M. Necas	96%	99%
3rd 18:11	Goal COL · G. Landeskog (EN)	99%	99%

On ice · final horn

BUF5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
19P. KrebsC	0:58	13:21	17	0	1	1	0	1	0	4	2	4-3
44J. DunneC	1:21	11:13	15	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1-1
29B. MalenstynL	0:58	11:54	16	0	0	0	1	2	0	4	1	–
21C. TimminsD	0:58	21:09	31	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	–
25O. PowerD	0:58	20:12	30	0	1	1	0	1	2	0	0	–
1U. LuukkonenG		52:55	SA30GA3SV%.900xGA3.54GSAx+0.54

COL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
18J. DruryC	0:58	14:28	19	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	10-5
20R. ColtonC	0:58	12:44	20	0	1	1	1	4	2	2	1	1-0
54G. BrindleyC	1:11	13:02	18	1	1	2	2	2	0	2	0	–
49S. GirardD	0:58	16:54	23	0	1	1	1	5	0	0	1	–
70S. MalinskiD	0:58	15:32	22	0	1	1	1	4	0	0	2	–
39M. BlackwoodG		60:00	SA21GA3SV%.857xGA2.52GSAx−0.48

Goals

1st
Martin Necas(1)
C. Makar (1), D. Toews (1)
xG 0.17wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 COL1st 00:52+12.385%
Artturi Lehkonen(1)
S. Malinski (1), M. Necas (1)
xG 0.26snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 COL1st 06:10+8.393%
Bowen Byram(1)
T. Thompson (1), A. Tuch (1)
xG 0.46snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 COL1st 07:47+8.315%
Brock Nelson(1)
R. Colton (1), G. Brindley (1)
xG 0.25snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 COL1st 09:46+8.593%
Jordan Greenway(1)
O. Power (1), J. Doan (1)
xG 0.18slapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 COL1st 13:28+8.715%
2nd
Tage Thompson(1)PP
I. Rosen (1), P. Krebs (1)
xG 0.07slapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied2nd 14:56+19.734%
Gavin Brindley(1)
J. Manson (1), B. Burns (1)
xG 0.02wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–4 COL2nd 16:22+20.386%
3rd
Martin Necas(2)
N. MacKinnon (1), S. Girard (1)
xG 0.13snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–5 COL3rd 16:53+3.599%
Gabriel Landeskog(1)EN
M. Necas (2)
xG 0.47snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–6 COL3rd 18:11+0.099%

Shots

BUF2.52 xG39 unblocked · 16 blocked39 unblocked · 16 blocked

COL5.14 xG58 unblocked · 14 blocked58 unblocked · 14 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

BUFCOL3Goals62.52xG5.1421Shots3439Unblocked5855Attempts722High danger61/4Power play0/226Faceoffs3816Hits2214Blocks169Takeaways423Giveaways134PIM8

Skaters

Player

Player
4B. ByramBowen ByramD	24:21	1	0	1	4	4	0.54	+0.46	1	1	1	3	—	0	0
23M. SamuelssonMattias SamuelssonD	23:13	0	0	0	1	2	0.10	−0.10	2	2	0	1	—	0	-3
21C. TimminsConor TimminsD	21:09	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	−0.01	0	1	1	1	—	0	-1
25O. PowerOwen PowerD	20:12	0	1	1	0	1	0.09	−0.09	0	0	3	0	—	2	-2
72T. ThompsonTage ThompsonC	18:37	1	1	2	5	8	0.54	+0.46	0	1	0	2	65%	0	-1
86N. OstlundNoah OstlundC	18:18	0	0	0	2	3	0.15	−0.15	0	0	0	2	8%	0	-2
63I. RosenIsak RosenR	17:33	0	1	1	2	6	0.25	−0.25	2	0	0	2	—	0	-2
22J. QuinnJack QuinnR	17:15	0	0	0	0	4	0.12	−0.12	0	0	1	2	0%	0	0
12J. GreenwayJordan GreenwayL	16:07	1	0	1	1	3	0.18	+0.82	0	1	0	0	0%	0	-2
71R. McLeodRyan McLeodC	15:40	0	0	0	1	6	0.22	−0.22	0	1	0	0	25%	0	-1
89A. TuchAlex TuchR	15:28	0	1	1	2	4	0.08	−0.08	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
48T. KozakTyson KozakC	14:22	0	0	0	1	2	0.05	−0.05	1	1	1	1	42%	2	-1
91J. DoanJosh DoanR	14:06	0	1	1	1	1	0.06	−0.06	1	0	2	3	—	0	-1
8M. KesselringMichael KesselringD	13:48	0	0	0	0	4	0.01	−0.01	0	0	0	2	—	0	0
19P. KrebsPeyton KrebsC	13:21	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	−0.01	4	1	0	1	57%	0	-2
29B. MalenstynBeck MalenstynL	11:54	0	0	0	1	2	0.11	−0.11	4	1	0	1	—	0	-1
44J. DunneJosh DunneC	11:13	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	1	0	0	50%	0	-1
78J. BrysonJacob BrysonD	10:18	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	1	—	0	-1
BUF total		3	6	9	21	55	2.52	+0.48	16	11	9	22	41%	4

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Thompson+1.16

Greenway+0.29

Rosen+0.21

Tuch−0.20

Krebs−0.21

Doan−0.24

McLeod−0.24

Malenstyn−0.26

Dunne−0.27

Quinn−0.33

Ostlund−0.45

Kozak−0.50

Defence

Byram+0.82

Power−0.06

Samuelsson−0.09

Bryson−0.17

Kesselring−0.22

Timmins−0.26

Goalie

Luukkonen+0.57

Lyon−1.35

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
McLeod·Thompson·Tuch	10:44	21	13	13	50.0%	7	4	1	1	0.88	0.72	55.3%	+0.17	3	3	50%
Greenway·Kozak·Doan	10:38	22	8	11	42.1%	4	6	1	1	0.31	0.66	31.6%	−0.35	2	5	29%
Ostlund·Quinn·Rosen	10:10	17	9	9	50.0%	2	3	0	0	0.29	0.57	34.1%	−0.27	4	1	80%
Malenstyn·Krebs·Dunne	9:01	15	6	10	37.5%	1	4	0	1	0.13	0.69	15.8%	−0.56	0	6	0%
Occasional · 3 groups
Krebs·Dunne·Tuch	0:42	2	1	1	50.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.12	0.0%	−0.12	0	0	—
Malenstyn·Krebs·McLeod	0:40	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Dunne·Kozak·Doan	0:39	3	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.10	0.0%	−0.10	0	0	—
BUF 5v5	47:59		40	57	41.2%	15	25	2	5	1.73	3.37	34.0%	−1.63

Goalies

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

BUF · 52:55

Saves: 27/30
SV%: .900
xGA: 3.54
GSAx: +0.54

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	19/22	.864	2.72	−0.28
Power play	8/8	1.000	0.82	+0.82
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	0/1	.000	0.49	−0.51

Alex Lyon

BUF · 6:10

Saves: 1/3
SV%: .333
xGA: 0.65
GSAx: −1.35

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	1/3	.333	0.65	−1.35
Power play	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	0/2	.000	0.43	−1.57

Mackenzie Blackwood

COL · 60:00

Saves: 18/21
SV%: .857
xGA: 2.52
GSAx: −0.48

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	13/15	.867	1.74	−0.26
Power play	5/6	.833	0.78	−0.22
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	0/2	.000	0.65	−1.35

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Buffalo Sabres

Minutes

24:21Byram
23:13Samuelsson
21:09Timmins
20:12Power
13:48Kesselring
10:18Bryson

18:37Thompson
18:18Ostlund
17:33Rosen
17:15Quinn
16:07Greenway
15:40McLeod
15:28Tuch
14:22Kozak
14:06Doan
13:21Krebs
11:54Malenstyn
11:13Dunne

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareBUFCOL

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

SamuelssonD2 O4
BrysonD1 O1
PowerD3 O3
ByramD7 O4
KesselringD4 O0
TimminsD11 O2
RosenD0 O8
OstlundD0 O8
QuinnD1 O6
ThompsonD4 O4
McLeodD3 O3
TuchD4 O3
DoanD5 O3
GreenwayD6 O3
KrebsD5 O1
DunneD4 O0
KozakD6 O2
MalenstynD5 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period