BUF @ UTA 2–5 · 2025-11-12

Team	1	2	3	SOG
BUF	1	1	0	19
UTA	0	1	4	37

Story

– / 14

Result UTA 5–2Call No lean · UTA 56%xG 2.28–3.82 · deserved UTA 75%Swing Peterka +28 3rd 0:52Method

Goals and penalties with UTA win probability
Time	Event	UTA win before	UTA win after
1st 5:33	Goal BUF · I. Rosen	56%	39%
1st 9:05	BUF penalty · P. Krebs · tripping · 2 min
1st 15:26	UTA penalty · L. Crouse · roughing · 2 min
1st 17:19	UTA penalty · K. Stenlund · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 6:42	Goal BUF · I. Rosen	33%	16%
2nd 10:42	Goal UTA · N. DeSimone	14%	31%
3rd 0:52	Goal UTA · J. Peterka	26%	54%
3rd 3:22	Goal UTA · L. Crouse	54%	81%
3rd 10:09	Goal UTA · N. Schmaltz	86%	97%
3rd 19:33	Goal UTA · C. Keller (EN)	99%	99%
3rd 19:37	BUF penalty · J. Dunne · cross checking · 2 min
3rd 19:37	BUF penalty · J. Dunne · misconduct · 10 min
3rd 19:37	UTA penalty · B. Hayton · misconduct · 10 min
3rd 19:37	BUF penalty · P. Krebs · misconduct · 10 min

On ice · final horn

BUF4 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
48T. KozakC	0:23	15:36	27	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	17-8
12J. GreenwayL	0:27	15:31	27	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	1-0
21C. TimminsD	0:27	19:31	26	0	0	0	0	6	0	1	2	–
23M. SamuelssonD	0:23	22:03	28	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	–
92C. EllisG		57:50	SA36GA4SV%.889xGA2.88GSAx−1.12

UTA5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
8N. SchmaltzC	0:23	20:04	27	1	1	2	2	4	0	0	1	6-4
92L. CooleyC	0:23	20:48	26	0	1	1	5	7	0	1	1	3-13
9C. KellerR	0:23	18:28	24	1	1	2	2	5	0	1	0	–
11D. GuentherR	0:27	13:53	20	0	0	0	6	8	0	1	0	2-1
98M. SergachevD	0:23	26:24	31	0	1	1	5	10	0	0	2	–
70K. VejmelkaG		60:00	SA19GA2SV%.895xGA2.28GSAx+0.28

Goals

1st
Isak Rosen(1)
J. Quinn (1), B. Byram (1)
xG 0.14deflectedClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 BUF1st 05:33+17.461%
2nd
Isak Rosen(2)
N. Ostlund (1)
xG 0.14slapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 BUF2nd 06:42+16.884%
Nick DeSimone(1)
M. Carcone (1), N. Schmidt (1)
xG 0.05slapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 BUF2nd 10:42+17.031%
3rd
JJ Peterka(1)
J. Marino (1), M. Sergachev (1)
xG 0.14snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied3rd 00:52+28.054%
Lawson Crouse(1)
J. Peterka (1), J. McBain (1)
xG 0.08snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 UTA3rd 03:22+27.681%
Nick Schmaltz(1)
C. Keller (1)
xG 0.16snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 UTA3rd 10:09+11.297%
Clayton Keller(1)EN
N. Schmaltz (1), L. Cooley (1)
xG 0.47snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–5 UTA3rd 19:33+0.099%

Shots

BUF2.28 xG37 unblocked · 10 blocked37 unblocked · 10 blocked

UTA3.82 xG51 unblocked · 17 blocked51 unblocked · 17 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

BUFUTA2Goals52.28xG3.8219Shots3737Unblocked5147Attempts683High danger70/2Power play0/228Faceoffs4020Hits1617Blocks103Takeaways520Giveaways1124PIM14

Skaters

Player

Player
4B. ByramBowen ByramD	24:33	0	1	1	2	3	0.12	−0.12	1	2	0	1	—	0	+1
25O. PowerOwen PowerD	22:10	0	0	0	1	5	0.12	−0.12	1	1	0	5	—	0	-2
23M. SamuelssonMattias SamuelssonD	22:03	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	−0.04	0	1	0	0	—	0	0
72T. ThompsonTage ThompsonC	19:46	0	0	0	0	4	0.05	−0.05	1	0	0	2	50%	0	-1
21C. TimminsConor TimminsD	19:31	0	0	0	0	6	0.09	−0.09	1	2	0	2	—	0	0
89A. TuchAlex TuchR	18:57	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	−0.03	1	1	0	0	—	0	-1
22J. QuinnJack QuinnR	18:35	0	1	1	2	2	0.29	−0.29	1	0	0	0	—	0	+1
86N. OstlundNoah OstlundC	16:59	0	1	1	2	3	0.17	−0.17	0	1	1	0	0%	0	+1
91J. DoanJosh DoanR	16:18	0	0	0	3	5	0.21	−0.21	3	2	1	1	—	0	-2
63I. RosenIsak RosenR	15:56	2	0	2	2	4	0.28	+1.72	0	0	0	1	—	0	+2
48T. KozakTyson KozakC	15:36	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	1	68%	0	-1
12J. GreenwayJordan GreenwayL	15:31	0	0	0	2	3	0.20	−0.20	0	0	0	1	100%	0	-1
19P. KrebsPeyton KrebsC	15:22	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	7	1	0	1	14%	12	-2
71R. McLeodRyan McLeodC	15:19	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	37%	0	-2
8M. KesselringMichael KesselringD	13:34	0	0	0	2	3	0.33	−0.33	0	0	0	3	—	0	-2
78J. BrysonJacob BrysonD	12:07	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	1	—	0	-2
29B. MalenstynBeck MalenstynL	9:11	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	1	0	0	—	0	-2
44J. DunneJosh DunneC	8:19	0	0	0	3	4	0.35	−0.35	1	1	1	0	0%	12	-3
BUF total		2	3	5	19	47	2.28	−0.28	20	13	3	19	41%	24

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Rosen+1.25

Ostlund+0.29

Quinn+0.18

Doan−0.04

Malenstyn−0.09

Kozak−0.23

Greenway−0.30

Dunne−0.36

Tuch−0.41

Thompson−0.45

McLeod−0.50

Krebs−0.60

Defence

Byram+0.05

Timmins−0.04

Kesselring−0.08

Power−0.16

Samuelsson−0.18

Bryson−0.22

Goalie

Ellis−1.10

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Ostlund·Quinn·Rosen	10:22	18	7	9	43.8%	4	4	2	0	0.66	0.46	58.9%	+0.20	4	0	100%
Greenway·Kozak·Doan	8:18	14	11	10	52.4%	3	5	0	0	0.41	0.18	69.4%	+0.23	1	5	17%
McLeod·Thompson·Tuch	7:18	13	2	3	40.0%	1	2	0	0	0.02	0.02	51.2%	+0.00	4	2	67%
Malenstyn·Krebs·Dunne	7:15	14	5	15	25.0%	2	7	0	2	0.33	0.87	27.5%	−0.54	1	2	33%
Occasional · 10 groups
Kozak·Thompson·Tuch	3:21	7	2	3	40.0%	0	2	0	0	0.01	0.07	7.4%	−0.07	0	3	0%
Greenway·Krebs·Doan	1:55	3	1	1	50.0%	1	1	0	0	0.03	0.10	21.0%	−0.07	1	0	100%
Greenway·McLeod·Doan	1:03	5	1	3	25.0%	1	2	0	1	0.03	0.17	14.6%	−0.14	0	2	0%
Thompson·Ostlund·Tuch	1:01	6	4	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.07	0.00	100.0%	+0.07	0	0	—
McLeod·Quinn·Rosen	0:58	3	0	2	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.19	0.0%	−0.19	0	0	—
Ostlund·Rosen·Tuch	0:51	3	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.09	0.0%	−0.09	0	0	—
McLeod·Thompson·Doan	0:42	2	0	3	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.13	0.0%	−0.13	0	0	—
Krebs·Thompson·Ostlund	0:37	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Greenway·Krebs·Quinn	0:37	2	0	2	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.15	0.0%	−0.15	0	0	—
McLeod·Thompson·Quinn	0:36	2	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.03	0.00	100.0%	+0.03	0	0	—
BUF 5v5	51:34		39	60	39.4%	16	32	2	4	2.02	2.58	43.9%	−0.56

Goalies

Colten Ellis

BUF · 57:50

Saves: 32/36
SV%: .889
xGA: 2.88
GSAx: −1.12

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	28/32	.875	2.58	−1.42
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.29	+0.29
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.01	+0.01
High danger	4/5	.800	0.86	−0.14

Karel Vejmelka

UTA · 60:00

Saves: 17/19
SV%: .895
xGA: 2.28
GSAx: +0.28

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	14/16	.875	2.06	+0.06
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.22	+0.22
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/2	1.000	0.65	+0.65

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Buffalo Sabres

Minutes

24:33Byram
22:10Power
22:03Samuelsson
19:31Timmins
13:34Kesselring
12:07Bryson

19:46Thompson
18:57Tuch
18:35Quinn
16:59Ostlund
16:18Doan
15:56Rosen
15:36Kozak
15:31Greenway
15:22Krebs
15:19McLeod
9:11Malenstyn
8:19Dunne

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareBUFUTA

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

BrysonD2 O3
KesselringD3 O3
ByramD5 O4
TimminsD7 O4
PowerD7 O3
SamuelssonD9 O2
QuinnD0 O6
OstlundD0 O5
RosenD0 O4
ThompsonD4 O6
McLeodD6 O6
KrebsD2 O2
DunneD2 O1
TuchD8 O6
MalenstynD3 O1
DoanD7 O3
GreenwayD7 O2
KozakD10 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period