TBL @ UTA 4–2 · 2025-11-02

Team	1	2	3	SOG
TBL	1	1	2	26
UTA	1	0	1	27

Story

– / 14

Result TBL 4–2Call No lean · UTA 55%xG 3.65–2.45 · deserved TBL 71%Swing Guentzel +38 3rd 12:06Method

Goals and penalties with UTA win probability
Time	Event	UTA win before	UTA win after
1st 5:55	Goal UTA · L. Crouse	55%	71%
1st 9:21	UTA penalty · K. Yamamoto · hooking · 2 min
1st 13:01	TBL penalty · G. Goncalves · too many men on the ice · 2 min
1st 15:17	Goal TBL · Y. Gourde	72%	54%
2nd 2:47	Goal TBL · A. Cirelli	54%	33%
2nd 7:29	TBL penalty · E. Cernak · holding · 2 min
2nd 8:56	UTA penalty · L. Cooley · holding · 2 min
2nd 13:02	TBL penalty · C. D'Astous · tripping · 2 min
2nd 19:58	UTA penalty · J. McBain · slashing · 2 min
2nd 19:58	TBL penalty · A. Cirelli · roughing · 2 min
3rd 2:21	Goal UTA · K. Yamamoto	24%	53%
3rd 12:06	Goal TBL · J. Guentzel	52%	15%
3rd 17:01	UTA penalty · M. Carcone · misconduct · 10 min
3rd 19:44	Goal TBL · B. Hagel (EN)	1%	0%

On ice · final horn

TBL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
17D. JamesC	0:16	11:28	16	0	0	0	2	6	0	4	0	4-3
93G. GoncalvesC	0:16	9:54	17	0	0	0	1	3	2	1	0	0-1
22O. BjorkstrandR	0:16	10:36	16	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	–
51C. D'AstousD	0:16	14:30	20	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	–
78E. LillebergD	0:16	19:23	24	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	3	–
31J. JohanssonG		60:00	SA27GA2SV%.926xGA2.45GSAx+0.45

UTA5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
22J. McBainC	0:16	12:21	19	0	0	0	0	2	2	6	0	6-5
67L. CrouseL	0:16	12:41	18	1	0	1	3	3	0	3	2	1-0
56K. YamamotoR	0:16	12:10	18	1	0	1	4	5	2	1	1	1-3
26D. SimashevD	0:16	17:26	25	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	–
28I. ColeD	0:16	16:32	22	0	2	2	0	2	0	1	0	–
70K. VejmelkaG		58:47	SA25GA3SV%.880xGA2.13GSAx−0.87

Goals

1st
Lawson Crouse(1)
I. Cole (1)
xG 0.17snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 UTA1st 05:55+16.671%
Yanni Gourde(1)
E. Lilleberg (1), Z. Girgensons (1)
xG 0.14snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 15:17+18.146%
2nd
Anthony Cirelli(1)
J. Guentzel (1), V. Hedman (1)
xG 0.04slapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 TBL2nd 02:47+20.867%
3rd
Kailer Yamamoto(1)
I. Cole (2)
xG 0.22snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied3rd 02:21+28.753%
Jake Guentzel(1)
Unassisted
xG 0.16snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 TBL3rd 12:06+37.585%
Brandon Hagel(1)EN
R. McDonagh (1)
xG 0.50wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–2 TBL3rd 19:44+0.2100%

Shots

TBL3.65 xG38 unblocked · 14 blocked38 unblocked · 14 blocked

UTA2.45 xG38 unblocked · 15 blocked38 unblocked · 15 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

TBLUTA4Goals23.65xG2.4526Shots2738Unblocked3852Attempts535High danger50/2Power play0/327Faceoffs3416Hits1915Blocks143Takeaways614Giveaways158PIM16

Skaters

Player

Player
38B. HagelBrandon HagelL	23:08	1	0	1	4	6	1.22	−0.22	1	0	1	0	—	0	+1
27R. McDonaghRyan McDonaghD	21:55	0	1	1	2	4	0.09	−0.09	1	1	0	1	—	0	+1
90J. MoserJ.J. MoserD	21:02	0	0	0	3	6	0.08	−0.08	1	1	0	0	—	0	+1
81E. CernakErik CernakD	20:27	0	0	0	2	3	0.10	−0.10	0	4	0	0	—	2	+1
86N. KucherovNikita KucherovR	20:19	0	0	0	1	4	0.57	−0.57	0	0	1	2	—	0	+1
77V. HedmanVictor HedmanD	20:08	0	1	1	1	2	0.08	−0.08	0	2	0	5	—	0	0
78E. LillebergEmil LillebergD	19:23	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	3	0	0	—	0	+1
37Y. GourdeYanni GourdeC	17:33	1	0	1	4	5	0.38	+0.62	1	0	0	1	40%	0	+1
21B. PointBrayden PointC	16:52	0	0	0	3	5	0.60	−0.60	0	1	0	0	56%	0	0
28Z. GirgensonsZemgus GirgensonsC	16:21	0	1	1	1	1	0.04	−0.04	3	1	0	0	—	0	+1
71A. CirelliAnthony CirelliC	16:19	1	0	1	1	3	0.04	+0.96	0	1	0	0	35%	2	+2
59J. GuentzelJake GuentzelC	14:56	1	1	2	1	1	0.16	+0.84	0	0	1	0	50%	0	+1
51C. D'AstousCharle-Edouard D'AstousD	14:30	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	1	—	2	0
29P. HolmbergPontus HolmbergR	14:08	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	3	—	0	0
17D. JamesDominic JamesC	11:28	0	0	0	2	6	0.15	−0.15	4	0	0	0	57%	0	-1
22O. BjorkstrandOliver BjorkstrandR	10:36	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	−0.01	1	0	0	1	—	0	-1
93G. GoncalvesGage GoncalvesC	9:54	0	0	0	1	3	0.12	−0.12	1	0	0	0	0%	0	0
42C. DouglasCurtis DouglasC	3:01	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	—	0	+1
TBL total		4	5	9	26	52	3.65	+0.35	16	14	3	14	44%	6

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Guentzel+1.17

Gourde+0.32

Cirelli+0.17

Douglas−0.07

Point−0.13

Holmberg−0.21

Girgensons−0.25

James−0.25

Bjorkstrand−0.25

Goncalves−0.38

Kucherov−0.38

Hagel−0.46

Defence

Lilleberg+0.23

Hedman+0.18

McDonagh+0.15

Moser−0.08

Cernak−0.09

D'Astous−0.45

Goalie

Johansson+0.47

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Girgensons·Gourde·Holmberg	12:14	19	9	10	47.4%	5	4	0	0	0.30	0.73	29.0%	−0.43	4	4	50%
Hagel·Point·Kucherov	8:22	15	8	5	61.5%	4	3	0	0	0.37	0.18	67.6%	+0.19	4	0	100%
James·Goncalves·Bjorkstrand	7:58	14	11	9	55.0%	5	5	0	1	0.36	0.43	45.4%	−0.07	1	2	33%
Occasional · 9 groups
Douglas·Guentzel·Cirelli	2:36	6	2	3	40.0%	1	1	1	0	0.08	0.04	66.5%	+0.04	1	0	100%
Hagel·Guentzel·Cirelli	2:13	3	1	4	20.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.06	0.0%	−0.06	1	1	50%
Point·Guentzel·Kucherov	2:02	4	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.02	0.00	100.0%	+0.02	2	0	100%
Hagel·Cirelli·Kucherov	1:49	4	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.07	0.0%	−0.07	0	1	0%
Point·Guentzel·Cirelli	1:14	2	1	4	20.0%	1	2	1	1	0.16	0.25	39.1%	−0.09	1	0	100%
Hagel·Cirelli·Goncalves	0:39	1	2	1	66.7%	1	0	0	0	0.03	0.00	100.0%	+0.03	1	0	100%
Guentzel·Cirelli·Kucherov	0:37	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
Hagel·James·Kucherov	0:33	5	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Girgensons·Guentzel·Cirelli	0:31	1	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.04	0.00	100.0%	+0.04	0	1	0%
TBL 5v5	47:22		40	40	50.0%	20	20	3	2	1.49	1.87	44.4%	−0.38

Goalies

Jonas Johansson

TBL · 60:00

Saves: 25/27
SV%: .926
xGA: 2.45
GSAx: +0.45

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	20/22	.909	1.98	−0.02
Power play	5/5	1.000	0.42	+0.42
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.04	+0.04
High danger	3/5	.600	0.92	−1.08

Karel Vejmelka

UTA · 58:47

Saves: 22/25
SV%: .880
xGA: 2.13
GSAx: −0.87

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	17/20	.850	1.61	−1.39
Power play	4/4	1.000	0.46	+0.46
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.06	+0.06
High danger	1/2	.500	0.32	−0.68

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Tampa Bay Lightning

Minutes

21:55McDonagh
21:02Moser
20:27Cernak
20:08Hedman
19:23Lilleberg
14:30D'Astous

23:08Hagel
20:19Kucherov
17:33Gourde
16:52Point
16:21Girgensons
16:19Cirelli
14:56Guentzel
14:08Holmberg
11:28James
10:36Bjorkstrand
9:54Goncalves
3:01Douglas

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareTBLUTA

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

HedmanD1 O1
D'AstousD0 O0
MoserD2 O2
LillebergD1 O1
McDonaghD8 O2
CernakD7 O1
PointD0 O8
KucherovD1 O8
GuentzelD1 O5
HagelD3 O7
CirelliD2 O4
HolmbergD2 O4
DouglasD0 O1
GoncalvesD2 O2
JamesD2 O2
GourdeD5 O4
GirgensonsD5 O4
BjorkstrandD2 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period