TOR @ CBJ 3–6 · 2025-10-29

Team	1	2	3	SOG
TOR	0	1	2	36
CBJ	2	3	1	24

Story

– / 13

Result CBJ 6–3Call No lean · CBJ 58%xG 4.46–2.35 · deserved TOR 81%Swing Sillinger +17 1st 6:56Method

Goals and penalties with CBJ win probability
Time	Event	CBJ win before	CBJ win after
1st 6:56	Goal CBJ · C. Sillinger	58%	75%
1st 11:16	Goal CBJ · Z. Werenski	75%	87%
1st 18:18	TOR penalty · P. Myers · holding · 2 min
2nd 2:43	Goal TOR · S. Blais	90%	76%
2nd 8:33	Goal CBJ · I. Provorov	78%	91%
2nd 13:24	Goal CBJ · C. Sillinger	92%	98%
2nd 16:58	Goal CBJ · D. Fabbro	98%	99%
3rd 3:41	CBJ penalty · D. Severson · holding · 2 min
3rd 4:02	TOR penalty · A. Matthews · slashing · 2 min
3rd 7:50	Goal CBJ · M. Olivier	99%	99%
3rd 12:25	CBJ penalty · D. Voronkov · hooking · 2 min
3rd 15:45	Goal TOR · J. Tavares	99%	99%
3rd 18:10	Goal TOR · N. Robertson	99%	99%

On ice · final horn

TOR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
11M. DomiC	1:05	13:42	19	0	1	1	1	3	0	0	0	4-4
79S. BlaisL	0:32	10:55	16	1	1	2	3	3	0	5	1	–
89N. RobertsonL	0:32	17:22	22	1	1	2	2	6	0	0	0	–
22J. McCabeD	0:15	20:20	30	0	1	1	1	3	0	0	1	–
51P. MyersD	1:02	17:55	24	0	0	0	2	4	2	0	2	–
30C. PrimeauG		60:00	SA24GA6SV%.750xGA2.35GSAx−3.65

CBJ5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
19A. FantilliC	1:22	17:17	16	0	0	0	1	7	0	2	1	4-4
38B. JennerC	1:04	15:43	17	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	2-3
91K. JohnsonC	1:05	15:39	16	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	–
2J. ChristiansenD	0:34	15:00	16	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	3	–
15D. FabbroD	1:08	19:54	20	1	0	1	2	7	0	0	2	–
90E. MerzlikinsG		60:00	SA36GA3SV%.917xGA4.46GSAx+1.46

Goals

1st
Cole Sillinger(1)
C. Coyle (1), M. Olivier (1)
xG 0.10wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 CBJ1st 06:56+16.675%
Zach Werenski(1)
C. Coyle (2), M. Olivier (2)
xG 0.07wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 CBJ1st 11:16+12.587%
2nd
Sammy Blais(1)
J. McCabe (1), S. Lorentz (1)
xG 0.75batClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 CBJ2nd 02:43+13.124%
Ivan Provorov(1)
D. Voronkov (1), K. Marchenko (1)
xG 0.09backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 CBJ2nd 08:33+13.391%
Cole Sillinger(2)
C. Coyle (3), Z. Werenski (1)
xG 0.13wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–4 CBJ2nd 13:24+5.598%
Dante Fabbro(1)
M. Olivier (3), C. Sillinger (1)
xG 0.13wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–5 CBJ2nd 16:58+1.299%
3rd
Mathieu Olivier(1)
C. Coyle (4)
xG 0.04wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–6 CBJ3rd 07:50+0.099%
John Tavares(1)
M. Knies (1), N. Robertson (1)
xG 0.20snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–6 CBJ3rd 15:45+0.01%
Nick Robertson(1)
M. Domi (1), S. Blais (1)
xG 0.08wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–6 CBJ3rd 18:10+0.01%

Shots

TOR4.46 xG52 unblocked · 19 blocked52 unblocked · 19 blocked

CBJ2.35 xG36 unblocked · 23 blocked36 unblocked · 23 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

TORCBJ3Goals64.46xG2.3536Shots2452Unblocked3671Attempts595High danger30/2Power play0/225Faceoffs3424Hits723Blocks199Takeaways523Giveaways194PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
44M. RiellyMorgan RiellyD	22:25	0	0	0	0	3	0.15	−0.15	1	3	1	3	—	0	-1
22J. McCabeJake McCabeD	20:20	0	1	1	1	3	0.03	−0.03	0	1	2	2	—	0	-2
95O. Ekman-LarssonOliver Ekman-LarssonD	20:15	0	0	0	1	4	0.13	−0.13	2	3	0	6	—	0	-2
34A. MatthewsAuston MatthewsC	19:46	0	0	0	5	9	0.33	−0.33	2	0	1	2	57%	2	-1
25B. CarloBrandon CarloD	19:10	0	0	0	1	2	0.03	−0.03	1	2	0	1	—	0	-1
2S. BenoitSimon BenoitD	18:05	0	0	0	1	2	0.03	−0.03	3	4	1	0	—	0	-2
51P. MyersPhilippe MyersD	17:55	0	0	0	2	4	0.15	−0.15	0	2	0	0	—	2	+2
53E. CowanEaston CowanR	17:23	0	0	0	3	8	0.42	−0.42	1	1	0	1	—	0	0
89N. RobertsonNick RobertsonL	17:22	1	1	2	2	6	0.14	+0.86	0	0	0	0	—	0	+1
55N. RoyNicolas RoyC	16:54	0	0	0	1	2	0.13	−0.13	1	2	0	5	38%	0	0
74B. McMannBobby McMannC	16:31	0	0	0	4	5	0.19	−0.19	1	0	0	0	0%	0	0
81D. JoshuaDakota JoshuaC	15:46	0	0	0	2	4	0.68	−0.68	3	1	2	0	0%	0	0
23M. KniesMatthew KniesL	15:19	0	1	1	1	2	0.06	−0.06	1	0	0	0	—	0	-3
91J. TavaresJohn TavaresC	14:21	1	0	1	4	4	0.51	+0.49	2	0	0	1	41%	0	-3
11M. DomiMax DomiC	13:42	0	1	1	1	3	0.20	−0.20	0	0	1	1	50%	0	0
63M. MaccelliMatias MaccelliL	12:34	0	0	0	1	3	0.10	−0.10	0	1	0	0	0%	0	-3
79S. BlaisSammy BlaisL	10:55	1	1	2	3	3	1.03	−0.03	5	1	1	0	—	0	0
18S. LorentzSteven LorentzC	7:17	0	1	1	3	4	0.15	−0.15	1	0	0	0	—	0	0
TOR total		3	6	9	36	71	4.46	−1.46	24	21	9	22	42%	4

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Blais+1.00

Domi+0.63

Robertson+0.58

Tavares+0.47

Knies+0.28

Joshua+0.24

Lorentz+0.19

Cowan−0.10

Roy−0.11

Maccelli−0.13

McMann−0.27

Matthews−0.27

Defence

McCabe+0.71

Benoit+0.60

Rielly+0.11

Ekman-Larsson+0.08

Myers+0.06

Carlo−0.12

Goalie

Primeau−3.63

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Roy·Joshua·Cowan	11:36	17	16	10	61.5%	5	4	0	0	0.87	0.46	65.6%	+0.41	1	2	33%
Robertson·Matthews·McMann	10:21	15	16	6	72.7%	8	1	0	0	0.46	0.43	52.2%	+0.04	3	2	60%
Knies·Maccelli·Tavares	7:35	13	8	12	40.0%	5	5	0	3	0.56	0.52	51.7%	+0.04	1	2	33%
Blais·Domi·Lorentz	5:12	10	6	5	54.5%	6	1	1	1	1.06	0.13	89.4%	+0.93	1	0	100%
Occasional · 13 groups
Maccelli·Matthews·McMann	1:54	4	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.06	0.00	100.0%	+0.06	0	1	0%
Blais·Robertson·Domi	1:49	3	2	3	40.0%	2	2	1	1	0.23	0.08	74.4%	+0.15	0	0	—
Blais·Roy·Joshua	1:05	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Knies·Domi·Tavares	0:56	1	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.04	0.0%	−0.04	0	1	0%
Knies·Robertson·Tavares	0:54	3	1	2	33.3%	1	1	1	0	0.20	0.05	80.6%	+0.15	0	0	—
Blais·Domi·Cowan	0:45	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Knies·Matthews·Tavares	0:38	2	1	1	50.0%	1	1	0	1	0.01	0.13	7.2%	−0.12	1	0	100%
Robertson·Matthews·Cowan	0:37	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Knies·Tavares·Cowan	0:36	2	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Matthews·Roy·Joshua	0:35	1	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.08	0.00	100.0%	+0.08	0	0	—
Domi·Joshua·Cowan	0:34	2	3	0	100.0%	2	0	0	0	0.43	0.00	100.0%	+0.43	0	0	—
Domi·McMann·Cowan	0:34	1	0	2	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	0	0	—
Robertson·Roy·Cowan	0:30	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
TOR 5v5	53:39		68	53	56.2%	35	22	3	6	4.25	2.03	67.7%	+2.23

Goalies

Cayden Primeau

TOR · 60:00

Saves: 18/24
SV%: .750
xGA: 2.35
GSAx: −3.65

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	18/24	.750	2.26	−3.74
Power play	0/0	—	0.09	+0.09
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	3/3	1.000	0.63	+0.63

Elvis Merzlikins

CBJ · 60:00

Saves: 33/36
SV%: .917
xGA: 4.46
GSAx: +1.46

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	32/35	.914	4.25	+1.25
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.21	+0.21
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	3/5	.600	1.66	−0.34

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Toronto Maple Leafs

Minutes

22:25Rielly
20:20McCabe
20:15Ekman-Larsson
19:10Carlo
18:05Benoit
17:55Myers

19:46Matthews
17:23Cowan
17:22Robertson
16:54Roy
16:31McMann
15:46Joshua
15:19Knies
14:21Tavares
13:42Domi
12:34Maccelli
10:55Blais
7:17Lorentz

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareTORCBJ

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

RiellyD3 O9
Ekman-LarssonD3 O5
CarloD3 O2
MyersD3 O1
McCabeD7 O4
BenoitD6 O1
TavaresD3 O4
MatthewsD3 O4
RobertsonD2 O3
McMannD2 O3
KniesD3 O4
DomiD2 O2
BlaisD1 O1
LorentzD1 O1
MaccelliD3 O2
CowanD2 O1
JoshuaD3 O1
RoyD5 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period