PIT @ COL 2–5 · 2026-10-16

BOS4ANA2Final

PittsburghPITPenguins2

FinalOct 162026-10-16

Team	1	2	3	SOG
PIT	2	0	0	32
COL	1	3	1	32

Ball Arena

ColoradoCOLAvalanche5

CallNo lean · 66% COL

Star 1N. MacKinnon1G 3A
Star 2A. Lehkonen2G 0A
Star 3T. Hughes1G 0A

Closing linesDraftKings

+170Moneyline-205+1.5 -142Puck line-1.5 +120O -130Total 6.5U +110+250RegulationTie +340 -135+1401st period-185+2451st · 3-wayTie +195 +124

Season odds

61%50%−10.9Playoffs99%100%+0.32.4%1.2%−1.2Cup24%24%+0.4

Story

– / 15

Result COL 5–2Call No lean · COL 66%Market COL 65%xG 3.17–5.84 · deserved COL 84%Swing Lehkonen +19 2nd 0:25Method

Goals and penalties with COL win probability
Time	Event	COL win before	COL win after
1st 8:28	Goal PIT · E. Malkin	65%	48%
1st 8:57	Goal PIT · B. Rust	48%	32%
1st 11:01	Goal COL · A. Lehkonen	31%	48%
1st 14:11	PIT penalty · T. Novak · high sticking · 2 min
1st 17:25	COL penalty · G. Brindley · interference · 2 min
2nd 0:25	Goal COL · A. Lehkonen	44%	64%
2nd 4:09	PIT penalty · E. Karlsson · ps hooking on breakaway
2nd 4:24	Goal COL · G. Landeskog	63%	81%
2nd 11:44	COL penalty · G. Landeskog · interference · 2 min
2nd 12:53	PIT penalty · B. Kindel · slashing · 2 min
2nd 14:57	Goal COL · T. Hughes	82%	94%
3rd 9:00	COL penalty · J. Manson · tripping · 2 min
3rd 13:23	PIT penalty · T. Novak · interference · 2 min
3rd 15:06	Goal COL · N. MacKinnon (PP)	99%	99%
3rd 17:51	PIT penalty · K. Letang · hooking · 2 min

On ice · final horn

PIT5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
19C. DewarC	0:20	12:29	17	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0-1
14N. RobertsonL	0:22	11:01	15	0	0	0	3	5	0	0	2	1-0
49S. GirardD	0:54	19:52	23	0	1	1	2	5	0	1	3	–
58K. LetangD	0:09	19:22	21	0	0	0	1	6	2	2	0	–
72D. CarlileD	0:20	20:16	20	0	0	0	1	4	0	1	2	–
37A. SilovsG		57:26	SA32GA5SV%.844xGA4.61GSAx−0.39

COL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
29N. MacKinnonC	0:52	22:59	24	1	3	4	9	11	0	0	1	6-5
91N. KadriC	0:53	20:55	23	0	1	1	4	6	0	0	0	2-3
71J. SchwartzL	0:17	14:03	16	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	1	–
13T. HughesR	0:49	12:27	14	1	0	1	2	2	0	0	0	4-3
8C. MakarD	0:21	22:19	24	0	2	2	2	7	0	0	2	–
39M. BlackwoodG		60:00	SA32GA2SV%.938xGA3.17GSAx+1.17

Goals

1st
Evgeni Malkin(1)
V. Koivunen (1), E. Karlsson (1)
xG 0.19wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 PIT1st 08:28+16.952%
Bryan Rust(1)
S. Crosby (1), S. Girard (1)
xG 0.23snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 PIT1st 08:57+16.568%
Artturi Lehkonen(1)
N. MacKinnon (1), M. Necas (1)
xG 0.20wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 PIT1st 11:01+16.748%
2nd
Artturi Lehkonen(2)
N. MacKinnon (2), M. Necas (2)
xG 0.26backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 00:25+19.564%
Gabriel Landeskog(1)
B. Nelson (1), N. Kadri (1)
xG 0.45wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 COL2nd 04:24+17.481%
T.J. Hughes(1)
N. MacKinnon (3), C. Makar (1)
xG 0.16wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 COL2nd 14:57+11.594%
3rd
Nathan MacKinnon(1)PP
C. Makar (2), M. Necas (3)
xG 0.09slapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–5 COL3rd 15:06+0.299%

Shots

Shooters

PIT3.17 xG50 unblocked · 15 blocked50 unblocked · 15 blocked

COL5.84 xG47 unblocked · 15 blocked47 unblocked · 15 blocked

Goal, taller = higher xGSavedMissedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

PITCOL2Goals53.17xG5.8432Shots3250Unblocked4765Attempts627High danger140/3Power play1/423Faceoffs3414Hits1215Blocks153Takeaways315Giveaways188PIM6

Skaters

Player

Player
65E. KarlssonErik KarlssonD	20:57	0	1	1	2	4	0.13	−0.13	0	0	0	1	—	0	-1
72D. CarlileDeclan CarlileD	20:16	0	0	0	1	4	0.02	−0.02	1	2	0	0	—	0	-2
49S. GirardSamuel GirardD	19:52	0	1	1	2	5	0.21	−0.21	1	3	0	1	—	0	-1
87S. CrosbySidney CrosbyC	19:46	0	1	1	2	5	0.34	−0.34	1	0	0	2	50%	0	0
6K. KorczakKaedan KorczakD	19:32	0	0	0	1	1	0.00	−0.00	0	1	0	0	—	0	0
58K. LetangKris LetangD	19:22	0	0	0	1	6	0.06	−0.06	2	0	1	2	—	2	0
67R. RakellRickard RakellR	18:51	0	0	0	5	9	0.78	−0.78	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
17B. RustBryan RustR	18:38	1	0	1	2	5	0.37	+0.63	2	1	1	0	—	0	-1
71E. MalkinEvgeni MalkinC	17:01	1	0	1	2	3	0.31	+0.69	0	0	0	1	0%	0	0
41V. KoivunenVille KoivunenR	15:46	0	1	1	1	2	0.15	−0.15	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
24S. StastneySpencer StastneyD	15:24	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	0	0	0	3	—	0	0
18T. NovakTommy NovakC	15:16	0	0	0	4	4	0.30	−0.30	0	1	0	1	35%	4	0
81B. KindelBen KindelC	14:57	0	0	0	2	3	0.14	−0.14	0	0	0	0	25%	2	-1
46B. LizotteBlake LizotteC	13:45	0	0	0	1	3	0.10	−0.10	2	1	1	0	40%	0	-2
19C. DewarConnor DewarC	12:29	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	−0.02	0	0	0	1	0%	0	-1
62A. KuzmenkoAndrei KuzmenkoL	11:03	0	0	0	2	3	0.02	−0.02	2	0	0	2	—	0	0
14N. RobertsonNick RobertsonL	11:01	0	0	0	3	5	0.20	−0.20	0	2	0	0	100%	0	0
25E. SoderblomElmer SoderblomL	10:55	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	3	3	0	1	—	0	-1
PIT total		2	4	6	32	65	3.17	−1.17	14	14	3	15	40%	8

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Rust+0.36

Malkin+0.27

Koivunen+0.27

Crosby+0.26

Robertson+0.03

Soderblom−0.06

Rakell−0.18

Kuzmenko−0.20

Dewar−0.31

Lizotte−0.45

Kindel−0.56

Novak−0.72

Defence

Girard+0.28

Stastney+0.23

Letang−0.16

Korczak−0.23

Karlsson−0.32

Carlile−0.51

Goalie

Silovs−0.35

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Crosby·Rust·Rakell	11:07	16	22	13	62.9%	9	8	1	1	1.53	0.82	65.2%	+0.71	1	1	50%
Novak·Malkin·Koivunen	10:05	15	10	10	50.0%	6	7	1	1	0.66	1.34	33.2%	−0.67	5	0	100%
Soderblom·Dewar·Lizotte	8:18	12	7	11	38.9%	3	2	0	1	0.07	0.34	16.9%	−0.27	0	2	0%
Robertson·Kuzmenko·Kindel	6:43	10	11	5	68.8%	8	3	0	0	0.37	0.05	88.2%	+0.32	0	0	—
Occasional · 3 groups
Robertson·Crosby·Rakell	0:56	3	1	1	50.0%	0	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	0	0	—
Crosby·Rust·Koivunen	0:40	2	1	1	50.0%	0	0	0	0	0.07	0.00	100.0%	+0.07	0	0	—
Lizotte·Kindel·Rust	0:04	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.16	0.0%	−0.16	0	0	—
Other 39 brief groups	6:41		5	7	41.7%	1	3	0	0	0.18	0.54	24.5%	−0.36
PIT 5v5	44:34		57	49	53.8%	27	24	2	4	2.88	3.25	47.1%	−0.36

Goalies

Arturs Silovs

PIT · 57:26

Saves: 27/32
SV%: .844
GAA: 5.22
xGA: 4.61
GSAx: −0.39

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	20/24	.833	3.25	−0.75
Power play	6/7	.857	1.21	+0.21
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.16	+0.16
High danger	7/11	.636	2.72	−1.28

Mackenzie Blackwood

COL · 60:00

Saves: 30/32
SV%: .938
GAA: 2.00
xGA: 3.17
GSAx: +1.17

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	26/28	.929	3.01	+1.01
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.14	+0.14
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.02	+0.02
High danger	4/6	.667	1.45	−0.55

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Pittsburgh Penguins

Minutes

20:57Karlsson
20:16Carlile
19:52Girard
19:32Korczak
19:22Letang
15:24Stastney

19:46Crosby
18:51Rakell
18:38Rust
17:01Malkin
15:46Koivunen
15:16Novak
14:57Kindel
13:45Lizotte
12:29Dewar
11:03Kuzmenko
11:01Robertson
10:55Soderblom

Matchups

Full game

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG sharePITCOLGoalHard matchEdge bars = skater 5v5 total

Faceoffs

Both teams · pick a taker to focus

23–3440%

D 29%6–15N 50%8–8O 45%9–11 8 won into a shot

COL attacks615PIT DZ 29% COL OZ

Neutral88PIT NZ 50% COL NZ

PIT attacks911PIT OZ 45% COL DZ

34–2360%

D 55%11–9N 50%8–8O 71%15–6 7 won into a shot

Bead = draw, winner’s colourClockwise from the top in game order Shot attempt within 10sHover a zone for its draws · click a taker to focus

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

LetangD0 O2
KarlssonD1 O3
StastneyD0 O1
CarlileD2 O0
GirardD3 O0
KorczakD4 O0
NovakD1 O6
KoivunenD0 O5
MalkinD0 O4
CrosbyD1 O4
RakellD1 O4
KindelD1 O3
KuzmenkoD0 O1
RustD3 O2
RobertsonD2 O0
SoderblomD2 O0
DewarD3 O0
LizotteD5 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period