CAR @ TOR 4–3 · 2026-03-20

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
CAR	0	3	0	1	36
TOR	1	1	1	0	26

Story

– / 14

Result CAR 4–3 OTCall No lean · CAR 67%Market CAR 67%xG 3.76–2.35 · deserved CAR 73%Swing Nikishin +43 OT 0:41Method

Goals and penalties with TOR win probability
Time	Event	TOR win before	TOR win after
1st 3:07	TOR penalty · O. Ekman-Larsson · tripping · 2 min
1st 11:48	Goal TOR · D. Joshua	34%	52%
1st 14:16	TOR penalty · N. Robertson · tripping · 2 min
1st 14:39	CAR penalty · A. Nikishin · slashing · 2 min
2nd 1:57	TOR penalty · B. Carlo · high sticking double minor · 4 min
2nd 5:57	Goal CAR · J. Staal (PP)	57%	36%
2nd 12:35	TOR penalty · T. Stecher · ps hooking on breakaway
2nd 12:35	Goal CAR · E. Robinson	37%	18%
2nd 13:47	Goal TOR · J. Tavares	18%	38%
2nd 16:14	CAR penalty · S. Walker · tripping · 2 min
2nd 17:40	Goal CAR · K. Miller (SH)	38%	17%
3rd 10:10	TOR penalty · E. Cowan · tripping · 2 min
3rd 13:50	Goal TOR · W. Nylander	8%	42%
OT 0:41	Goal CAR · A. Nikishin	43%	0%

On ice · final horn

CAR3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
20S. AhoC	0:36	18:47	22	0	1	1	2	6	0	0	1	4-2
24S. JarvisC	0:33	17:56	22	0	1	1	2	7	0	0	0	1-0
21A. NikishinD	0:06	14:23	22	0	0	0	3	7	2	0	0	–
32B. BussiG		60:41	SA26GA3SV%.885xGA2.35GSAx−0.65

TOR3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
91J. TavaresC	0:41	16:12	19	1	0	1	3	4	0	4	0	11-6
88W. NylanderR	0:41	20:39	19	1	0	1	4	4	0	0	1	1-0
22J. McCabeD	0:41	22:55	27	0	1	1	1	3	0	0	1	–
60J. WollG		60:41	SA35GA3SV%.914xGA3.71GSAx+0.71

Goals

1st
Dakota Joshua(1)
B. Groulx (1), M. Maccelli (1)
xG 0.38wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 TOR1st 11:48+17.552%
2nd
Jordan Staal(1)PP
S. Jarvis (1), S. Aho (1)
xG 0.13tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied2nd 05:57+21.064%
Eric Robinson(1)1v0
Unassisted
xG 0.14wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 CAR2nd 12:35+19.582%
John Tavares(1)
C. Jarnkrok (1), J. McCabe (1)
xG 0.10wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied2nd 13:47+19.938%
K'Andre Miller(1)SH
Unassisted
xG 0.16backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 CAR2nd 17:40+21.583%
3rd
William Nylander(1)
M. Maccelli (2)
xG 0.14wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied3rd 13:50+33.342%
OT
Alexander Nikishin(1)
S. Jarvis (2), S. Aho (2)
xG 0.05wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–3 CAROT 00:41+43.1100%

Shots

CAR3.76 xG54 unblocked · 23 blocked54 unblocked · 23 blocked

TOR2.35 xG32 unblocked · 11 blocked32 unblocked · 11 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

CARTOR4Goals33.76xG2.3536Shots2654Unblocked3277Attempts433High danger41/5Power play0/225Faceoffs2720Hits2111Blocks235Takeaways510Giveaways144PIM10

Skaters

Player

Player
74J. SlavinJaccob SlavinD	23:58	0	0	0	1	2	0.01	−0.01	0	1	1	0	—	0	-2
19K. MillerK'Andre MillerD	23:58	1	0	1	1	2	0.16	+0.84	0	0	0	1	—	0	+1
5J. ChatfieldJalen ChatfieldD	22:07	0	0	0	1	2	0.12	−0.12	0	0	0	2	—	0	0
26S. WalkerSean WalkerD	20:42	0	0	0	5	11	0.26	−0.26	2	3	0	2	—	2	-1
20S. AhoSebastian AhoC	18:47	0	2	2	2	6	0.32	−0.32	0	0	0	0	67%	0	0
11J. StaalJordan StaalC	18:03	1	0	1	2	4	0.39	+0.61	4	2	0	1	44%	0	-1
27N. EhlersNikolaj EhlersL	18:00	0	0	0	3	5	0.09	−0.09	2	0	0	0	—	0	-1
24S. JarvisSeth JarvisC	17:56	0	2	2	2	7	0.48	−0.48	0	0	2	0	100%	0	0
71T. HallTaylor HallL	17:39	0	0	0	4	8	0.33	−0.33	1	0	0	0	—	0	0
53J. BlakeJackson BlakeR	17:07	0	0	0	4	9	0.60	−0.60	0	1	0	0	—	0	0
22L. StankovenLogan StankovenC	16:32	0	0	0	3	4	0.40	−0.40	0	0	0	0	40%	0	0
48J. MartinookJordan MartinookL	16:31	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	2	1	0	0	0%	0	-1
37A. SvechnikovAndrei SvechnikovR	14:36	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	−0.06	0	1	0	0	0%	0	-2
21A. NikishinAlexander NikishinD	14:23	1	0	1	4	8	0.21	+0.79	0	0	1	3	—	2	0
77M. JankowskiMark JankowskiL	10:40	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	−0.04	2	1	0	0	55%	0	0
28W. CarrierWilliam CarrierL	9:32	0	0	0	1	1	0.03	−0.03	5	0	0	0	100%	0	0
6M. ReillyMike ReillyD	9:07	0	0	0	1	2	0.01	−0.01	0	0	0	0	—	0	-1
50E. RobinsonEric RobinsonL	8:25	1	0	1	2	2	0.25	+0.75	2	1	1	0	—	0	+1
CAR total		4	4	8	36	77	3.76	+0.24	20	11	5	9	48%	4

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Robinson+0.88

Jarvis+0.80

Staal+0.38

Aho−0.07

Ehlers−0.13

Blake−0.19

Stankoven−0.23

Hall−0.26

Jankowski−0.27

Carrier−0.28

Svechnikov−0.33

Martinook−0.47

Defence

Miller+0.34

Nikishin+0.26

Walker+0.11

Reilly−0.11

Chatfield−0.34

Slavin−0.37

Goalie

Bussi−0.64

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Ehlers·Martinook·Staal	11:35	17	13	9	59.1%	6	6	0	1	0.22	0.70	23.7%	−0.48	0	2	0%
Aho·Jarvis·Svechnikov	9:56	17	9	10	47.4%	2	6	0	2	0.55	0.40	58.2%	+0.16	3	1	75%
Hall·Stankoven·Blake	9:22	13	18	8	69.2%	10	5	0	0	1.07	0.35	75.3%	+0.72	0	1	0%
Carrier·Robinson·Jankowski	7:14	11	4	5	44.4%	0	1	0	0	0.04	0.33	10.0%	−0.30	1	3	25%
Occasional · 7 groups
Martinook·Staal·Svechnikov	0:57	6	2	1	66.7%	0	1	0	0	0.07	0.01	87.2%	+0.06	0	0	—
Carrier·Stankoven·Blake	0:49	3	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.09	0.0%	−0.09	0	0	—
Ehlers·Martinook·Aho	0:47	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Stankoven·Jarvis·Svechnikov	0:43	4	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Hall·Jankowski·Blake	0:39	3	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Carrier·Martinook·Jankowski	0:36	1	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.03	0.00	100.0%	+0.03	0	0	—
Carrier·Martinook·Staal	0:33	2	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	0	0	—
CAR 5v5	47:37		54	38	58.7%	23	21	1	3	2.29	1.94	54.1%	+0.35

Goalies

Brandon Bussi

CAR · 60:41

Saves: 23/26
SV%: .885
xGA: 2.35
GSAx: −0.65

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	18/21	.857	1.94	−1.06
Power play	2/2	1.000	0.28	+0.28
Shorthanded	3/3	1.000	0.12	+0.12
High danger	3/4	.750	0.90	−0.10

Joseph Woll

TOR · 60:41

Saves: 32/36
SV%: .889
xGA: 3.76
GSAx: −0.24

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	24/26	.923	2.57	+0.57
Power play	8/9	.889	0.90	−0.10
Shorthanded	0/1	.000	0.29	−0.71
High danger	1/2	.500	0.71	−0.29

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Carolina Hurricanes

Minutes

23:58Slavin
23:58Miller
22:07Chatfield
20:42Walker
14:23Nikishin
9:07Reilly

18:47Aho
18:03Staal
18:00Ehlers
17:56Jarvis
17:39Hall
17:07Blake
16:32Stankoven
16:31Martinook
14:36Svechnikov
10:40Jankowski
9:32Carrier
8:25Robinson

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCARTOR

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

NikishinD2 O5
WalkerD2 O3
MillerD2 O2
SlavinD3 O2
ReillyD2 O0
ChatfieldD4 O2
SvechnikovD1 O5
JarvisD1 O5
AhoD1 O4
HallD1 O2
StaalD3 O3
EhlersD2 O2
BlakeD1 O1
StankovenD2 O1
CarrierD3 O1
RobinsonD3 O1
JankowskiD4 O1
MartinookD3 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period