BUF @ SJS 5–0 · 2026-03-19

Team	1	2	3	SOG
BUF	0	3	2	16
SJS	0	0	0	23

Story

– / 9

Result BUF 5–0Call No lean · BUF 64%Market BUF 57%xG 2.25–1.90 · deserved BUF 57%Swing Ostlund +19 2nd 9:05Method

Goals and penalties with SJS win probability
Time	Event	SJS win before	SJS win after
1st 10:56	SJS penalty · A. Wennberg · high sticking · 2 min
1st 16:09	BUF penalty · J. Zucker · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 4:38	BUF penalty · O. Power · holding · 2 min
2nd 9:05	Goal BUF · N. Ostlund	39%	20%
2nd 9:41	Goal BUF · S. Carrick	20%	8%
2nd 10:48	Goal BUF · R. Dahlin	8%	3%
3rd 0:40	Goal BUF · T. Thompson	1%	1%
3rd 13:40	SJS penalty · B. Goodrow · slashing · 2 min
3rd 16:54	Goal BUF · S. Carrick	1%	1%

On ice · final horn

BUF5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
19P. KrebsC	0:20	14:17	19	0	1	1	0	1	0	2	1	0-2
72T. ThompsonC	0:36	16:50	20	1	0	1	1	4	0	3	0	2-6
29B. MalenstynL	0:54	13:54	18	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	–
64L. StanleyD	0:49	18:06	21	0	2	2	1	3	0	1	2	–
73Z. MetsaD	0:35	15:48	20	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	1	–
34A. LyonG		60:00	SA23GA0SV%1.000xGA1.90GSAx+1.90

SJS5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
23B. GoodrowC	0:57	11:36	16	0	0	0	3	3	2	2	0	–
63Z. OstapchukC	1:26	11:40	14	0	0	0	2	2	0	1	1	2-3
81A. GaudetteR	1:22	10:54	15	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-2
5V. DesharnaisD	0:56	19:51	22	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	4	–
85S. MukhamadullinD	0:57	16:16	19	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	–
33A. NedeljkovicG		60:00	SA16GA5SV%.688xGA2.25GSAx−2.75

Goals

2nd
Noah Ostlund(1)
J. Doan (1), L. Stanley (1)
xG 0.16wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 BUF2nd 09:05+18.980%
Sam Carrick(1)
R. Dahlin (1), Z. Benson (1)
xG 0.04wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 BUF2nd 09:41+11.892%
Rasmus Dahlin(1)
J. Zucker (1), M. Samuelsson (1)
xG 0.21wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–0 BUF2nd 10:48+5.497%
3rd
Tage Thompson(1)
P. Krebs (1), A. Tuch (1)
xG 0.09wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–0 BUF3rd 00:40+0.899%
Sam Carrick(2)
L. Stanley (2), Z. Metsa (1)
xG 0.17deflectedClip(opens nhl.com)
5–0 BUF3rd 16:54+0.099%

Shots

BUF2.25 xG26 unblocked · 17 blocked26 unblocked · 17 blocked

SJS1.90 xG34 unblocked · 15 blocked34 unblocked · 15 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

BUFSJS5Goals02.25xG1.9016Shots2326Unblocked3443Attempts496High danger10/2Power play0/224Faceoffs2414Hits2715Blocks174Takeaways610Giveaways194PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
4B. ByramBowen ByramD	24:07	0	0	0	1	4	0.28	−0.28	1	0	1	0	—	0	+1
25O. PowerOwen PowerD	20:47	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	3	0	0	—	2	+1
26R. DahlinRasmus DahlinD	19:15	1	1	2	1	5	0.21	+0.79	0	0	0	1	—	0	+2
23M. SamuelssonMattias SamuelssonD	18:36	0	1	1	1	2	0.03	−0.03	0	1	0	1	—	0	+2
64L. StanleyLogan StanleyD	18:06	0	2	2	1	3	0.03	−0.03	1	2	2	0	—	0	+2
89A. TuchAlex TuchR	17:36	0	1	1	0	1	0.06	−0.06	1	2	0	0	—	0	+1
72T. ThompsonTage ThompsonC	16:50	1	0	1	1	4	0.30	+0.70	3	0	0	0	25%	0	+1
86N. OstlundNoah OstlundC	16:06	1	0	1	2	4	0.38	+0.62	0	1	1	1	50%	0	+1
71R. McLeodRyan McLeodC	15:58	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	40%	0	+1
73Z. MetsaZach MetsaD	15:48	0	1	1	0	2	0.01	−0.01	0	1	0	2	—	0	+2
91J. DoanJosh DoanR	15:17	0	1	1	2	3	0.12	−0.12	0	1	0	1	—	0	+1
22J. QuinnJack QuinnR	14:55	0	0	0	2	4	0.11	−0.11	1	1	0	0	—	0	+1
9J. NorrisJosh NorrisC	14:54	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	1	0	0	53%	0	+1
19P. KrebsPeyton KrebsC	14:17	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	0.00	2	1	0	1	0%	0	+1
17J. ZuckerJason ZuckerL	14:08	0	1	1	2	3	0.13	−0.13	0	0	0	1	—	2	+1
29B. MalenstynBeck MalenstynL	13:54	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	−0.08	3	0	0	0	—	0	+2
10S. CarrickSam CarrickC	13:27	2	0	2	3	5	0.50	+1.50	0	0	0	1	89%	0	+2
6Z. BensonZach BensonL	11:59	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	1	—	0	+2
BUF total		5	10	15	16	43	2.25	+2.75	14	14	4	10	50%	4

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Carrick+1.20

Thompson+0.52

Ostlund+0.45

Krebs+0.41

Doan+0.24

Zucker+0.04

Benson−0.14

Tuch−0.15

Malenstyn−0.21

Norris−0.30

McLeod−0.30

Quinn−0.33

Defence

Dahlin+0.71

Stanley+0.50

Metsa+0.18

Samuelsson0.00

Byram−0.26

Power−0.27

Goalie

Lyon+1.91

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Norris·Ostlund·Doan	10:19	15	3	13	18.8%	2	4	1	0	0.23	0.21	52.3%	+0.02	1	4	20%
Zucker·McLeod·Quinn	10:07	15	8	7	53.3%	4	5	1	0	0.53	0.29	64.6%	+0.24	3	0	100%
Krebs·Thompson·Tuch	8:57	14	6	14	30.0%	1	3	1	0	0.31	0.41	43.4%	−0.10	3	1	75%
Benson·Malenstyn·Carrick	6:58	11	5	3	62.5%	3	3	2	0	0.45	0.24	64.7%	+0.20	1	2	33%
Benson·Thompson·Tuch	3:08	6	3	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.02	0.00	100.0%	+0.02	0	0	—
Malenstyn·Carrick·Krebs	2:54	4	3	2	60.0%	0	1	0	0	0.08	0.02	77.5%	+0.06	0	0	—
Occasional · 5 groups
Zucker·Norris·Doan	0:59	6	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	0	—
Thompson·Ostlund·Tuch	0:52	3	3	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.23	0.00	100.0%	+0.23	0	0	—
Malenstyn·Carrick·Ostlund	0:41	3	3	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.11	0.00	100.0%	+0.11	0	0	—
Norris·Thompson·Doan	0:39	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Norris·Krebs·Doan	0:33	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.06	0.0%	−0.06	0	0	—
BUF 5v5	52:00		38	46	45.2%	13	21	5	0	2.11	1.66	55.9%	+0.45

Goalies

Alex Lyon

BUF · 60:00

Saves: 23/23
SV%: 1.000
xGA: 1.90
GSAx: +1.90

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	21/21	1.000	1.66	+1.66
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.17	+0.17
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.06	+0.06
High danger	1/1	1.000	0.18	+0.18

Alex Nedeljkovic

SJS · 60:00

Saves: 11/16
SV%: .688
xGA: 2.25
GSAx: −2.75

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	8/13	.615	2.11	−2.89
Power play	3/3	1.000	0.14	+0.14
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/5	.400	1.10	−1.90

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Buffalo Sabres

Minutes

24:07Byram
20:47Power
19:15Dahlin
18:36Samuelsson
18:06Stanley
15:48Metsa

17:36Tuch
16:50Thompson
16:06Ostlund
15:58McLeod
15:17Doan
14:55Quinn
14:54Norris
14:17Krebs
14:08Zucker
13:54Malenstyn
13:27Carrick
11:59Benson

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareBUFSJS

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

DahlinD2 O4
ByramD3 O4
SamuelssonD3 O3
PowerD2 O2
MetsaD2 O0
StanleyD4 O0
ZuckerD0 O3
ThompsonD1 O3
KrebsD1 O3
QuinnD0 O2
TuchD2 O3
NorrisD2 O2
McLeodD1 O1
MalenstynD2 O1
DoanD3 O2
OstlundD3 O2
BensonD2 O1
CarrickD3 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period