BUF @ TBL 6–2 · 2026-02-28

Team	1	2	3	SOG
BUF	4	1	1	35
TBL	0	1	1	38

Story

– / 24

Result BUF 6–2Call No lean · TBL 64%xG 4.29–3.36 · deserved BUF 64%Swing Dahlin +17 1st 5:25Method

Goals and penalties with TBL win probability
Time	Event	TBL win before	TBL win after
1st 5:25	Goal BUF · R. Dahlin	64%	46%
1st 6:15	Goal BUF · J. Norris	46%	29%
1st 8:18	Goal BUF · J. Norris	29%	16%
1st 10:44	BUF penalty · Z. Benson · cross checking · 2 min
1st 15:06	Goal BUF · T. Thompson	13%	6%
2nd 1:54	Goal BUF · Z. Metsa	4%	1%
2nd 5:47	TBL penalty · B. Point · slashing · 2 min
2nd 5:47	BUF penalty · R. Dahlin · cross checking · 2 min
2nd 10:26	TBL penalty · E. Lilleberg · roughing · 2 min
2nd 12:10	TBL penalty · J. Guentzel · delaying game puck over glass · 2 min
2nd 16:03	Goal TBL · D. James	0%	1%
2nd 16:03	TBL penalty · V. Hedman · roughing · 2 min
2nd 16:03	BUF penalty · M. Samuelsson · roughing · 2 min
3rd 1:28	BUF penalty · A. Tuch · roughing · 2 min
3rd 1:28	TBL penalty · C. D'Astous · roughing · 2 min
3rd 1:28	BUF penalty · M. Kesselring · cross checking · 2 min
3rd 2:02	TBL penalty · J. Guentzel · abuse of officials · 2 min
3rd 2:02	TBL penalty · J. Guentzel · abusive language · 10 min
3rd 3:43	Goal BUF · A. Tuch (PP)	0%	0%
3rd 5:27	Goal TBL · V. Hedman	0%	0%
3rd 6:23	TBL penalty · D. Raddysh · cross checking · 2 min
3rd 12:48	TBL penalty · A. Cirelli · interference · 2 min
3rd 17:12	BUF penalty · M. Kesselring · cross checking · 2 min
OT 0:00	TBL penalty · C. D'Astous · roughing · 2 min

On ice · final horn

BUF5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
19P. KrebsC	0:52	10:59	18	0	1	1	0	3	0	5	0	1-2
48T. KozakC	0:52	13:04	19	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5-8
22J. QuinnR	0:32	14:21	20	0	1	1	2	6	0	1	0	–
26R. DahlinD	1:14	24:32	29	1	2	3	2	3	2	0	0	–
73Z. MetsaD	0:52	13:08	18	1	1	2	3	3	0	0	2	–
1U. LuukkonenG		59:41	SA38GA2SV%.947xGA3.36GSAx+1.36

TBL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
28Z. GirgensonsC	0:52	15:03	23	0	0	0	3	4	0	3	0	0-1
37Y. GourdeC	1:10	15:59	21	0	0	0	1	1	0	5	0	5-11
29P. HolmbergR	0:52	13:52	20	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	0-1
51C. D'AstousD	0:52	15:50	18	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	0	–
78E. LillebergD	0:52	16:45	21	0	0	0	3	3	2	3	0	–
31J. JohanssonG		38:06	SA21GA1SV%.952xGA2.21GSAx+1.21

Goals

1st
Rasmus Dahlin(1)
O. Power (1)
xG 0.03wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 BUF1st 05:25+17.454%
Josh Norris(1)
J. Doan (1), Z. Metsa (1)
xG 0.12wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 BUF1st 06:15+16.671%
Josh Norris(2)
B. Byram (1), Z. Benson (1)
xG 0.15tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
3–0 BUF1st 08:18+12.884%
Tage Thompson(1)
P. Krebs (1), R. Dahlin (1)
xG 0.22wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–0 BUF1st 15:06+7.494%
2nd
Zach Metsa(1)
Unassisted
xG 0.16wristClip(opens nhl.com)
5–0 BUF2nd 01:54+2.899%
Dominic James(1)
O. Bjorkstrand (1), V. Hedman (1)
xG 0.29wristClip(opens nhl.com)
5–1 BUF2nd 16:03+0.91%
3rd
Alex Tuch(1)PP
R. Dahlin (2), J. Quinn (1)
xG 0.06wristClip(opens nhl.com)
6–1 BUF3rd 03:43+0.0100%
Victor Hedman(1)
D. Raddysh (1)
xG 0.05slapClip(opens nhl.com)
6–2 BUF3rd 05:27+0.00%

Shots

BUF4.29 xG50 unblocked · 5 blocked50 unblocked · 5 blocked

TBL3.36 xG51 unblocked · 14 blocked51 unblocked · 14 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

BUFTBL6Goals24.29xG3.3635Shots3850Unblocked5155Attempts658High danger11/5Power play0/331Faceoffs3316Hits2814Blocks52Takeaways616Giveaways1112PIM28

Skaters

Player

Player
26R. DahlinRasmus DahlinD	24:32	1	2	3	2	3	0.21	+0.79	0	0	0	3	—	2	+2
23M. SamuelssonMattias SamuelssonD	24:08	0	0	0	1	2	0.12	−0.12	1	2	1	1	—	2	-1
4B. ByramBowen ByramD	22:45	0	1	1	4	5	0.27	−0.27	0	2	0	0	—	0	+2
71R. McLeodRyan McLeodC	20:21	0	0	0	2	2	0.20	−0.20	0	1	0	0	48%	0	+1
25O. PowerOwen PowerD	19:59	0	1	1	4	6	0.30	−0.30	0	0	0	2	—	0	+2
89A. TuchAlex TuchR	18:15	1	0	1	5	8	0.56	+0.44	1	0	0	0	0%	2	-1
91J. DoanJosh DoanR	16:08	0	1	1	2	2	0.24	−0.24	1	1	0	1	—	0	+2
72T. ThompsonTage ThompsonC	16:00	1	0	1	6	6	0.56	+0.44	0	0	1	1	75%	0	-1
9J. NorrisJosh NorrisC	15:03	2	0	2	2	3	0.41	+1.59	0	0	0	1	44%	0	+2
86N. OstlundNoah OstlundC	14:46	0	0	0	0	1	0.21	−0.21	1	2	0	1	—	0	+1
22J. QuinnJack QuinnR	14:21	0	1	1	2	6	0.26	−0.26	1	0	0	0	—	0	+2
6Z. BensonZach BensonL	13:39	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	0	100%	2	+1
73Z. MetsaZach MetsaD	13:08	1	1	2	3	3	0.34	+0.66	0	2	0	2	—	0	+2
48T. KozakTyson KozakC	13:04	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	2	38%	0	+1
29B. MalenstynBeck MalenstynL	12:26	0	0	0	1	3	0.19	−0.19	4	2	0	0	—	0	0
17J. ZuckerJason ZuckerL	12:05	0	0	0	1	2	0.25	−0.25	0	1	0	1	100%	0	+2
19P. KrebsPeyton KrebsC	10:59	0	1	1	0	3	0.16	−0.16	5	0	0	0	33%	0	-1
8M. KesselringMichael KesselringD	8:40	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	—	4	-1
BUF total		6	9	15	35	55	4.29	+1.71	16	14	2	15	48%	12

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Norris+1.15

Thompson+0.76

Krebs+0.53

Doan+0.39

Tuch+0.22

Malenstyn+0.04

Zucker−0.02

Quinn−0.07

Ostlund−0.29

Kozak−0.35

McLeod−0.38

Benson−0.42

Defence

Dahlin+1.14

Metsa+0.87

Byram+0.43

Power+0.18

Samuelsson−0.18

Kesselring−0.53

Goalie

Luukkonen+1.39

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Benson·Malenstyn·Kozak	8:48	16	4	12	25.0%	2	8	0	0	0.24	0.65	27.1%	−0.41	0	4	0%
Krebs·Thompson·Tuch	7:42	16	10	11	47.6%	6	9	1	2	0.84	0.66	55.9%	+0.18	2	0	100%
Zucker·McLeod·Quinn	7:39	13	12	9	57.1%	5	5	1	0	0.55	0.39	58.8%	+0.17	3	5	38%
Norris·Ostlund·Doan	7:29	14	3	9	25.0%	2	4	1	0	0.28	0.39	41.3%	−0.12	1	3	25%
Occasional · 6 groups
Benson·Kozak·Tuch	0:51	2	0	5	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.22	0.0%	−0.22	0	0	—
McLeod·Ostlund·Doan	0:45	2	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.11	0.0%	−0.11	0	0	—
McLeod·Ostlund·Quinn	0:43	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Benson·Ostlund·Doan	0:43	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Krebs·Thompson·Doan	0:41	3	3	0	100.0%	2	0	0	0	0.33	0.00	100.0%	+0.33	0	0	—
Krebs·Kozak·Quinn	0:32	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
BUF 5v5	41:42		36	51	41.4%	20	30	5	2	2.68	2.60	50.7%	+0.08

Goalies

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

BUF · 59:41

Saves: 36/38
SV%: .947
xGA: 3.36
GSAx: +1.36

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	31/33	.939	2.89	+0.89
Power play	4/4	1.000	0.42	+0.42
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.05	+0.05
High danger	0/1	.000	0.29	−0.71

Jonas Johansson

TBL · 38:06

Saves: 20/21
SV%: .952
xGA: 2.21
GSAx: +1.21

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	13/13	1.000	1.25	+1.25
Power play	6/7	.857	0.95	−0.05
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.01	+0.01
High danger	2/2	1.000	0.67	+0.67

Andrei Vasilevskiy

TBL · 21:54

Saves: 9/14
SV%: .643
xGA: 2.08
GSAx: −2.92

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	9/14	.643	2.08	−2.92
Power play	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/4	.500	0.81	−1.19

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Buffalo Sabres

Minutes

24:32Dahlin
24:08Samuelsson
22:45Byram
19:59Power
13:08Metsa
8:40Kesselring

20:21McLeod
18:15Tuch
16:08Doan
16:00Thompson
15:03Norris
14:46Ostlund
14:21Quinn
13:39Benson
13:04Kozak
12:26Malenstyn
12:05Zucker
10:59Krebs

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareBUFTBL

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

DahlinD4 O7
KesselringD3 O2
PowerD5 O4
MetsaD2 O0
SamuelssonD6 O3
ByramD6 O3
ThompsonD0 O3
NorrisD4 O5
DoanD4 O5
ZuckerD5 O5
TuchD4 O3
KrebsD2 O1
QuinnD5 O4
OstlundD3 O2
McLeodD7 O5
BensonD4 O0
MalenstynD5 O0
KozakD5 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period