TOR @ TBL 2–4 · 2026-02-25

Team	1	2	3	SOG
TOR	0	0	2	34
TBL	0	2	2	36

Story

– / 12

Result TBL 4–2Call No lean · TBL 72%xG 3.61–5.80 · deserved TBL 78%Swing Point +17 2nd 7:07Method

Goals and penalties with TBL win probability
Time	Event	TBL win before	TBL win after
1st 14:06	TOR penalty · S. Benoit · slashing · 2 min
2nd 0:48	TBL penalty · E. Cernak · interference · 2 min
2nd 7:07	Goal TBL · B. Point	68%	85%
2nd 7:58	Goal TBL · G. Goncalves	85%	94%
2nd 7:58	TOR penalty · O. Ekman-Larsson · roughing · 2 min
3rd 2:59	Goal TBL · N. Kucherov	97%	99%
3rd 5:24	TOR penalty · A. Matthews · tripping · 2 min
3rd 9:43	TOR penalty · S. Benoit · hooking · 2 min
3rd 14:54	TBL penalty · R. McDonagh · holding · 2 min
3rd 16:19	Goal TOR · J. Tavares (PP)	99%	99%
3rd 16:30	Goal TBL · B. Point	99%	99%
3rd 17:13	Goal TOR · M. Knies	99%	99%

On ice · final horn

TOR6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
34A. MatthewsC	3:30	22:54	20	1	1	2	3	2	1	3	10-5
55N. RoyC	1:08	15:22	21	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	8-9
74B. McMannC	1:08	14:24	17	0	0	3	4	0	3	0	–
63M. MaccelliL	1:08	14:15	17	0	0	4	5	0	0	1	–
89N. RobertsonL	1:08	12:52	16	0	0	1	2	0	5	1	0-1
44M. RiellyD	1:13	20:09	26	0	0	3	5	0	2	0	–

TBL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
37Y. GourdeC	1:08	19:53	22	0	0	0	3	6	0	4	0	4-11
59J. GuentzelC	1:08	22:25	22	0	0	0	5	8	0	0	1	0-4
38B. HagelL	0:17	20:30	26	0	0	0	4	7	0	1	1	0-2
27R. McDonaghD	1:08	16:19	20	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	–
81E. CernakD	1:08	17:04	20	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	–
88A. VasilevskiyG		60:00	SA34GA2SV%.941xGA3.61GSAx+1.61

Goals

2nd
Brayden Point(1)
C. D'Astous (1), P. Holmberg (1)
xG 0.06wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 TBL2nd 07:07+16.885%
Gage Goncalves(1)
N. Kucherov (1), C. D'Astous (2)
xG 0.20wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 TBL2nd 07:58+9.594%
3rd
Nikita Kucherov(1)
G. Goncalves (1), B. Point (1)
xG 0.12slapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–3 TBL3rd 02:59+2.699%
John Tavares(1)PP6v4
W. Nylander (1), M. Knies (1)
xG 0.09wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 TBL3rd 16:19+0.01%
Brayden Point(2)
N. Kucherov (2), G. Goncalves (2)
xG 0.23wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–4 TBL3rd 16:30+0.099%
Matthew Knies(1)6v5
W. Nylander (2), A. Matthews (1)
xG 0.01snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 TBL3rd 17:13+0.01%

Shots

TOR3.61 xG48 unblocked · 11 blocked48 unblocked · 11 blocked

TBL5.80 xG59 unblocked · 17 blocked59 unblocked · 17 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

TORTBL2Goals43.61xG5.8034Shots3648Unblocked5959Attempts767High danger131/2Power play0/434Faceoffs2818Hits1717Blocks117Takeaways315Giveaways98PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
34A. MatthewsAuston MatthewsC	22:54	0	1	1	2	3	0.16	−0.16	1	3	0	1	67%	2	+1
95O. Ekman-LarssonOliver Ekman-LarssonD	22:40	0	0	0	3	10	0.54	−0.54	1	3	1	0	—	2	0
22J. McCabeJake McCabeD	22:00	0	0	0	1	2	0.01	−0.01	0	3	0	1	—	0	-2
44M. RiellyMorgan RiellyD	20:09	0	0	0	3	5	0.13	−0.13	2	0	0	0	—	0	-1
88W. NylanderWilliam NylanderR	19:02	0	2	2	4	4	0.43	−0.43	0	0	1	1	100%	0	0
11M. DomiMax DomiC	18:31	0	0	0	2	2	0.09	−0.09	0	0	2	1	—	0	+1
23M. KniesMatthew KniesL	17:48	1	1	2	3	5	0.20	+0.80	1	0	1	1	—	0	0
25B. CarloBrandon CarloD	17:43	0	0	0	1	2	0.01	−0.01	0	3	0	1	—	0	0
91J. TavaresJohn TavaresC	17:29	1	0	1	3	5	0.23	+0.77	0	1	0	2	53%	0	-1
28T. StecherTroy StecherD	16:28	0	0	0	1	1	0.02	−0.02	0	0	0	2	—	0	-2
55N. RoyNicolas RoyC	15:22	0	0	0	0	3	0.19	−0.19	0	0	1	0	47%	0	-2
2S. BenoitSimon BenoitD	14:32	0	0	0	1	1	0.08	−0.08	4	1	0	0	—	4	-2
74B. McMannBobby McMannC	14:24	0	0	0	3	4	0.52	−0.52	3	0	0	1	—	0	-1
63M. MaccelliMatias MaccelliL	14:15	0	0	0	4	5	0.50	−0.50	0	1	1	1	—	0	-1
89N. RobertsonNick RobertsonL	12:52	0	0	0	1	2	0.28	−0.28	5	1	0	1	0%	0	-2
24S. LaughtonScott LaughtonC	12:02	0	0	0	1	1	0.04	−0.04	1	0	0	1	63%	0	-2
18S. LorentzSteven LorentzC	10:18	0	0	0	1	2	0.17	−0.17	0	1	0	1	0%	0	0
19C. JarnkrokCalle JarnkrokC	8:11	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	−0.03	0	0	0	0	—	0	0
TOR total		2	4	6	34	59	3.61	−1.61	18	17	7	15	55%	8

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Nylander+0.85

Tavares+0.54

Knies+0.45

Matthews+0.07

Maccelli−0.09

Robertson−0.12

Lorentz−0.22

Jarnkrok−0.27

McMann−0.32

Domi−0.44

Roy−0.45

Laughton−0.47

Defence

Carlo−0.06

Ekman-Larsson−0.09

McCabe−0.15

Rielly−0.22

Stecher−0.31

Benoit−0.60

Goalie

Stolarz+1.34

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Maccelli·Tavares·Nylander	9:34	13	13	12	52.0%	9	2	0	1	0.96	0.55	63.3%	+0.40	2	1	67%
Domi·Matthews·McMann	8:11	10	3	10	23.1%	2	3	0	0	0.09	0.58	13.3%	−0.49	2	1	67%
Knies·Robertson·Roy	7:30	11	7	13	35.0%	2	5	0	1	0.38	0.61	38.3%	−0.23	2	1	67%
Lorentz·Jarnkrok·Laughton	5:06	7	4	6	40.0%	2	3	0	0	0.07	0.48	13.4%	−0.40	0	1	0%
Knies·Domi·Matthews	3:47	7	5	0	100.0%	3	0	0	0	0.17	0.00	100.0%	+0.17	1	1	50%
Occasional · 7 groups
Robertson·Roy·McMann	1:40	5	1	2	33.3%	0	1	0	0	0.03	0.24	12.0%	−0.21	1	0	100%
Matthews·Tavares·Nylander	1:09	2	2	1	66.7%	2	1	0	0	0.09	0.13	41.5%	−0.04	0	0	—
Domi·Matthews·Nylander	0:43	2	1	1	50.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
Matthews·McMann·Nylander	0:40	1	1	2	33.3%	1	1	0	0	0.09	0.05	63.4%	+0.04	0	0	—
Maccelli·Roy·Nylander	0:35	4	0	3	0.0%	0	3	0	0	0.00	0.23	0.0%	−0.23	0	0	—
Maccelli·Domi·Matthews	0:34	1	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.15	0.0%	−0.15	0	0	—
Domi·Roy·McMann	0:32	2	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.27	0.0%	−0.27	0	0	—
TOR 5v5	45:15		39	59	39.8%	22	26	0	4	2.16	3.83	36.1%	−1.66

Goalies

Anthony Stolarz

TOR · 55:20

Saves: 32/36
SV%: .889
xGA: 5.31
GSAx: +1.31

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	22/26	.846	3.83	−0.17
Power play	10/10	1.000	1.48	+1.48
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	8/10	.800	2.30	+0.30

Andrei Vasilevskiy

TBL · 60:00

Saves: 32/34
SV%: .941
xGA: 3.61
GSAx: +1.61

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	25/26	.962	2.74	+1.74
Power play	5/6	.833	0.69	−0.31
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.18	+0.18
High danger	6/6	1.000	1.41	+1.41

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Toronto Maple Leafs

Minutes

22:40Ekman-Larsson
22:00McCabe
20:09Rielly
17:43Carlo
16:28Stecher
14:32Benoit

22:54Matthews
19:02Nylander
18:31Domi
17:48Knies
17:29Tavares
15:22Roy
14:24McMann
14:15Maccelli
12:52Robertson
12:02Laughton
10:18Lorentz
8:11Jarnkrok

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareTORTBL

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

Ekman-LarssonD6 O7
StecherD0 O1
BenoitD0 O1
RiellyD3 O2
CarloD4 O2
McCabeD6 O1
McMannD1 O4
DomiD2 O4
RoyD1 O3
MatthewsD2 O4
RobertsonD1 O3
MaccelliD1 O3
KniesD2 O4
TavaresD2 O3
NylanderD2 O3
JarnkrokD2 O0
LorentzD4 O1
LaughtonD5 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period