CAR @ OTT 4–1 · 2026-01-24

Team	1	2	3	SOG
CAR	3	1	0	19
OTT	0	1	0	37

Story

– / 14

Result CAR 4–1Call No lean · CAR 54%xG 2.71–2.61 · deserved CAR 52%Swing Carrier +18 1st 3:53Method

Goals and penalties with OTT win probability
Time	Event	OTT win before	OTT win after
1st 1:17	OTT penalty · J. Sanderson · high sticking · 2 min
1st 3:53	Goal CAR · W. Carrier	46%	28%
1st 5:36	Goal CAR · S. Jarvis	28%	15%
1st 8:34	CAR penalty · A. Nikishin · slashing · 2 min
1st 18:43	Goal CAR · T. Hall	12%	4%
2nd 3:07	CAR penalty · S. Walker · kneeing · 2 min
2nd 8:39	OTT penalty · J. Sanderson · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 8:49	OTT penalty · C. Giroux · tripping · 2 min
2nd 9:29	Goal CAR · A. Svechnikov (PP)	3%	1%
2nd 12:11	Goal OTT · T. Stützle	1%	2%
2nd 13:52	CAR penalty · T. Hall · abuse of officials · 2 min
2nd 13:52	CAR penalty · T. Hall · misconduct · 10 min
2nd 16:35	OTT penalty · N. Cousins · tripping · 2 min
3rd 15:21	CAR penalty · S. Walker · tripping · 2 min

On ice · final horn

CAR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
82J. KotkaniemiC	0:43	11:31	15	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	–
28W. CarrierL	0:41	11:23	16	1	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	–
77M. JankowskiL	1:09	13:23	16	0	1	1	1	3	0	0	2	3-4
21A. NikishinD	0:25	16:30	21	0	1	1	1	4	2	1	0	–
64J. NystromD	0:25	9:40	17	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	–
32B. BussiG		60:00	SA37GA1SV%.973xGA2.61GSAx+1.61

OTT5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
21N. CousinsC	0:25	10:31	18	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	2	–
89L. EllerC	0:25	10:42	14	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	2-3
20F. ZetterlundL	0:25	11:29	17	0	0	0	2	4	0	2	2	–
10J. SpenceD	0:25	13:42	22	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	2	–
43T. KlevenD	0:25	20:54	27	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	0	–
47J. ReimerG		56:08	SA19GA4SV%.789xGA2.23GSAx−1.77

Goals

1st
William Carrier(1)
M. Jankowski (1), J. Chatfield (1)
xG 0.15backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 CAR1st 03:53+17.672%
Seth Jarvis(1)
A. Nikishin (1)
xG 0.07wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 CAR1st 05:36+13.485%
Taylor Hall(1)
J. Blake (1), J. Chatfield (2)
xG 0.08wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–0 CAR1st 18:43+7.496%
2nd
Andrei Svechnikov(1)PP
N. Ehlers (1), S. Jarvis (1)
xG 0.14wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–0 CAR2nd 09:29+2.199%
Tim Stützle(1)
J. Sanderson (1), C. Giroux (1)
xG 0.10wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–1 CAR2nd 12:11+1.82%

Shots

CAR2.71 xG29 unblocked · 14 blocked29 unblocked · 14 blocked

OTT2.61 xG47 unblocked · 15 blocked47 unblocked · 15 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

CAROTT4Goals12.71xG2.6119Shots3729Unblocked4743Attempts623High danger21/4Power play0/418Faceoffs3812Hits3415Blocks144Takeaways816Giveaways1318PIM8

Skaters

Player

Player
5J. ChatfieldJalen ChatfieldD	24:20	0	2	2	1	2	0.13	−0.13	2	0	1	0	—	0	+1
74J. SlavinJaccob SlavinD	23:36	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	5	0	0	—	0	+1
19K. MillerK'Andre MillerD	22:37	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	3	2	1	0	—	0	0
24S. JarvisSeth JarvisC	18:42	1	1	2	1	1	0.07	+0.93	0	0	0	1	—	0	+1
20S. AhoSebastian AhoC	18:35	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	−0.03	1	0	0	3	9%	0	+1
26S. WalkerSean WalkerD	17:50	0	0	0	2	5	0.18	−0.18	2	0	0	2	—	4	0
48J. MartinookJordan MartinookL	17:49	0	0	0	1	2	0.09	−0.09	0	1	0	0	100%	0	-1
11J. StaalJordan StaalC	17:48	0	0	0	1	3	0.19	−0.19	1	2	0	1	30%	0	-1
27N. EhlersNikolaj EhlersL	17:44	0	1	1	1	2	0.02	−0.02	0	1	0	0	—	0	-1
21A. NikishinAlexander NikishinD	16:30	0	1	1	1	4	0.52	−0.52	1	0	0	3	—	2	+1
37A. SvechnikovAndrei SvechnikovR	15:57	1	0	1	2	3	0.47	+0.53	1	0	2	2	—	0	+1
77M. JankowskiMark JankowskiL	13:23	0	1	1	1	3	0.25	−0.25	0	2	0	1	43%	0	+1
53J. BlakeJackson BlakeR	12:41	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	—	0	+1
22L. StankovenLogan StankovenC	11:55	0	0	0	3	7	0.31	−0.31	0	0	0	0	50%	0	+1
82J. KotkaniemiJesperi KotkaniemiC	11:31	0	0	0	2	3	0.18	−0.18	0	0	0	0	—	0	+1
28W. CarrierWilliam CarrierL	11:23	1	0	1	1	1	0.15	+0.85	1	0	0	0	—	0	+1
71T. HallTaylor HallL	9:59	1	0	1	1	1	0.08	+0.92	0	0	0	1	—	12	+1
64J. NystromJoel NystromD	9:40	0	0	0	1	3	0.05	−0.05	0	0	0	1	—	0	+1
CAR total		4	7	11	19	43	2.71	+1.29	12	13	4	15	32%	18

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Svechnikov+0.58

Jankowski+0.51

Carrier+0.47

Jarvis+0.43

Blake+0.28

Hall+0.28

Ehlers+0.10

Kotkaniemi−0.18

Stankoven−0.24

Staal−0.25

Martinook−0.34

Aho−0.46

Defence

Slavin+0.26

Chatfield+0.11

Miller−0.03

Nystrom−0.06

Nikishin−0.17

Walker−0.54

Goalie

Bussi+1.63

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Ehlers·Martinook·Staal	9:07	12	5	15	25.0%	2	5	0	1	0.18	0.41	30.3%	−0.23	1	3	25%
Aho·Jarvis·Svechnikov	8:42	13	4	10	28.6%	2	6	1	0	0.16	0.40	28.4%	−0.24	0	0	—
Carrier·Jankowski·Kotkaniemi	6:35	12	6	8	42.9%	4	4	1	0	0.35	0.21	62.8%	+0.14	1	1	50%
Hall·Stankoven·Blake	6:13	11	8	4	66.7%	3	4	1	0	0.11	0.23	33.2%	−0.11	2	2	50%
Occasional · 9 groups
Martinook·Staal·Svechnikov	1:28	5	3	0	100.0%	2	0	0	0	0.40	0.00	100.0%	+0.40	0	0	—
Ehlers·Stankoven·Blake	1:15	2	2	1	66.7%	1	1	0	0	0.02	0.09	17.0%	−0.07	0	0	—
Carrier·Martinook·Staal	1:14	2	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	0	—
Jankowski·Kotkaniemi·Svechnikov	1:07	4	2	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.14	0.00	100.0%	+0.14	0	0	—
Ehlers·Jankowski·Kotkaniemi	1:04	3	2	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
Carrier·Jankowski·Blake	0:41	4	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.06	0.00	100.0%	+0.06	0	0	—
Carrier·Stankoven·Blake	0:39	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Hall·Stankoven·Jarvis	0:38	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Hall·Jankowski·Blake	0:30	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
CAR 5v5	43:36		36	46	43.9%	17	27	3	1	1.62	1.82	47.0%	−0.21

Goalies

Brandon Bussi

CAR · 60:00

Saves: 36/37
SV%: .973
xGA: 2.61
GSAx: +1.61

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	30/31	.968	1.92	+0.92
Power play	5/5	1.000	0.54	+0.54
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.15	+0.15
High danger	2/2	1.000	0.40	+0.40

James Reimer

OTT · 56:08

Saves: 15/19
SV%: .789
xGA: 2.23
GSAx: −1.77

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	14/17	.824	1.62	−1.38
Power play	1/2	.500	0.35	−0.65
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.27	+0.27
High danger	1/1	1.000	0.49	+0.49

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Carolina Hurricanes

Minutes

24:20Chatfield
23:36Slavin
22:37Miller
17:50Walker
16:30Nikishin
9:40Nystrom

18:42Jarvis
18:35Aho
17:49Martinook
17:48Staal
17:44Ehlers
15:57Svechnikov
13:23Jankowski
12:41Blake
11:55Stankoven
11:31Kotkaniemi
11:23Carrier
9:59Hall

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCAROTT

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

NikishinD3 O3
NystromD1 O1
WalkerD3 O1
MillerD3 O1
SlavinD7 O1
ChatfieldD7 O1
HallD1 O2
KotkaniemiD1 O2
SvechnikovD0 O1
JankowskiD2 O2
CarrierD1 O1
AhoD1 O1
JarvisD1 O1
StankovenD2 O2
EhlersD3 O2
BlakeD2 O1
StaalD9 O4
MartinookD9 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period