MTL @ BUF 3–5 · 2026-01-15

Team	1	2	3	SOG
MTL	2	1	0	23
BUF	2	1	2	27

Story

– / 19

Result BUF 5–3Call No lean · MTL 53%xG 2.47–3.00 · deserved BUF 60%Swing Thompson +32 3rd 5:12Method

Goals and penalties with BUF win probability
Time	Event	BUF win before	BUF win after
1st 3:11	Goal MTL · C. Caufield	47%	30%
1st 3:46	MTL penalty · L. Hutson · high sticking · 2 min
1st 4:05	Goal BUF · T. Thompson (PP)	29%	47%
1st 9:21	MTL penalty · K. Guhle · interference · 2 min
1st 10:30	Goal BUF · J. Doan (PP)	47%	67%
1st 12:50	BUF penalty · Z. Benson · slashing · 2 min
1st 13:46	BUF penalty · B. Byram · high sticking · 2 min
1st 14:20	Goal MTL · I. Demidov (PP)	68%	47%
2nd 2:32	BUF penalty · J. Bryson · holding · 2 min
2nd 3:05	Goal MTL · N. Suzuki (PP)	48%	26%
2nd 8:55	Goal BUF · A. Tuch	25%	48%
2nd 10:20	BUF penalty · B. Byram · roughing · 2 min
2nd 10:20	MTL penalty · M. Matheson · roughing · 2 min
3rd 0:37	MTL penalty · P. Danault · tripping · 2 min
3rd 5:12	Goal BUF · T. Thompson	48%	80%
3rd 7:08	BUF penalty · J. Greenway · roughing · 2 min
3rd 7:08	MTL penalty · B. Gallagher · roughing · 2 min
3rd 8:39	MTL penalty · O. Kapanen · tripping · 2 min
3rd 18:20	Goal BUF · T. Thompson (EN)	97%	100%

On ice · final horn

MTL6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
14N. SuzukiC	2:20	22:17	24	1	1	2	2	5	0	0	0	14-8
20J. SlafkovskýL	2:07	18:14	20	0	0	0	1	4	0	1	2	0-1
13C. CaufieldR	2:14	19:17	21	1	1	2	5	6	0	0	0	1-0
93I. DemidovR	1:25	16:10	19	1	0	1	3	3	0	0	0	–
48L. HutsonD	2:07	25:55	28	0	2	2	1	1	2	0	2	–
53N. DobsonD	1:40	21:39	26	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	4	–

BUF5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
71R. McLeodC	0:44	18:29	26	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	10-8
86N. OstlundC	0:14	17:21	19	0	2	2	3	8	0	0	0	1-4
89A. TuchR	0:59	18:44	25	1	0	1	1	4	0	4	0	–
4B. ByramD	0:59	25:05	33	0	0	0	1	3	4	0	0	–
23M. SamuelssonD	0:44	25:24	32	0	0	0	4	7	0	0	1	–
92C. EllisG		59:47	SA23GA3SV%.870xGA2.47GSAx−0.53

Goals

1st
Cole Caufield(1)
N. Dobson (1)
xG 0.20wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 MTL1st 03:11+17.670%
Tage Thompson(1)PP
N. Ostlund (1), J. Zucker (1)
xG 0.09snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 04:05+17.847%
Josh Doan(1)PP
T. Thompson (1), N. Ostlund (2)
xG 0.11wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 BUF1st 10:30+19.467%
Ivan Demidov(1)PP
L. Hutson (1), N. Suzuki (1)
xG 0.12slapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied1st 14:20+20.253%
2nd
Nick Suzuki(1)PP
L. Hutson (2), C. Caufield (1)
xG 0.12snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 MTL2nd 03:05+21.574%
Alex Tuch(1)
T. Thompson (2), R. Dahlin (1)
xG 0.09snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied2nd 08:55+23.248%
3rd
Tage Thompson(2)
J. Doan (1)
xG 0.14snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–4 BUF3rd 05:12+32.280%
Tage Thompson(3)EN
Z. Benson (1)
xG 0.55wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–5 BUF3rd 18:20+2.9100%

Shots

MTL2.47 xG36 unblocked · 7 blocked36 unblocked · 7 blocked

BUF3.00 xG39 unblocked · 18 blocked39 unblocked · 18 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

MTLBUF3Goals52.47xG3.0023Shots2736Unblocked3943Attempts573High danger42/3Power play2/433Faceoffs2326Hits2118Blocks74Takeaways614Giveaways1512PIM10

Skaters

Player

Player
48L. HutsonLane HutsonD	25:55	0	2	2	1	1	0.07	−0.07	0	2	0	3	—	2	-1
8M. MathesonMike MathesonD	22:32	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	−0.04	1	0	0	1	—	2	0
14N. SuzukiNick SuzukiC	22:17	1	1	2	2	5	0.23	+0.77	0	0	0	1	64%	0	-1
53N. DobsonNoah DobsonD	21:39	0	1	1	0	1	0.02	−0.02	0	4	0	0	—	0	-1
45A. CarrierAlexandre CarrierD	21:00	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	−0.04	0	4	0	0	—	0	-1
13C. CaufieldCole CaufieldR	19:17	1	1	2	5	6	0.48	+0.52	0	0	1	2	100%	0	-1
20J. SlafkovskýJuraj SlafkovskýL	18:14	0	0	0	1	4	0.11	−0.11	1	2	0	1	0%	0	-1
93I. DemidovIvan DemidovR	16:10	1	0	1	3	3	0.26	+0.74	0	0	0	1	—	0	-1
91O. KapanenOliver KapanenC	16:02	0	0	0	3	3	0.25	−0.25	0	1	1	0	53%	2	0
24P. DanaultPhillip DanaultC	14:58	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	3	2	0	3	45%	2	-2
21K. GuhleKaiden GuhleD	14:56	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	−0.03	1	1	1	1	—	2	0
85A. TexierAlexandre TexierL	13:45	0	0	0	3	5	0.39	−0.39	1	0	0	0	—	0	0
17J. AndersonJosh AndersonR	13:27	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	−0.11	1	0	0	0	—	0	-1
76Z. BolducZachary BolducR	12:04	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	−0.12	5	0	0	0	100%	0	-1
90J. VelenoJoseph VelenoC	11:12	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	3	1	0	0	80%	0	0
11B. GallagherBrendan GallagherR	10:58	0	0	0	3	4	0.20	−0.20	0	0	0	0	—	2	0
72A. XhekajArber XhekajD	10:29	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	6	0	0	0	—	0	0
27S. BlaisSammy BlaisL	7:29	0	0	0	2	2	0.12	−0.12	4	1	1	0	—	0	0
MTL total		3	5	8	23	43	2.47	+0.53	26	18	4	13	59%	12

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Suzuki+0.56

Caufield+0.54

Demidov+0.43

Gallagher−0.06

Bolduc−0.07

Blais−0.11

Texier−0.15

Veleno−0.18

Slafkovský−0.30

Kapanen−0.34

Anderson−0.37

Danault−0.51

Defence

Hutson+0.75

Dobson+0.50

Carrier−0.02

Xhekaj−0.10

Guhle−0.12

Matheson−0.28

Goalie

Fowler−1.53

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Texier·Suzuki·Caufield	10:47	16	11	10	52.4%	8	5	1	1	0.92	0.57	61.7%	+0.35	1	1	50%
Slafkovský·Kapanen·Demidov	8:14	13	5	3	62.5%	1	2	0	0	0.18	0.03	86.1%	+0.15	1	1	50%
Danault·Anderson·Bolduc	7:42	12	2	7	22.2%	0	5	0	1	0.08	0.28	23.2%	−0.19	1	3	25%
Blais·Veleno·Gallagher	6:05	11	7	9	43.8%	4	5	0	0	0.33	0.51	39.6%	−0.17	0	2	0%
Occasional · 9 groups
Danault·Gallagher·Bolduc	1:06	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Slafkovský·Suzuki·Demidov	1:00	4	2	1	66.7%	1	1	0	0	0.02	0.04	38.2%	−0.01	0	0	—
Veleno·Anderson·Bolduc	0:50	3	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.11	0.00	100.0%	+0.11	0	0	—
Veleno·Gallagher·Demidov	0:50	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	0	—
Slafkovský·Suzuki·Caufield	0:49	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Blais·Danault·Anderson	0:33	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Slafkovský·Danault·Anderson	0:33	2	0	3	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.16	0.0%	−0.16	0	0	—
Danault·Veleno·Kapanen	0:32	1	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Slafkovský·Danault·Kapanen	0:31	1	0	3	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
MTL 5v5	45:27		34	41	45.3%	17	20	1	2	1.89	1.70	52.7%	+0.19

Goalies

Jacob Fowler

MTL · 58:08

Saves: 22/26
SV%: .846
xGA: 2.45
GSAx: −1.55

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	20/22	.909	1.87	−0.13
Power play	2/4	.500	0.58	−1.42
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/2	1.000	0.50	+0.50

Colten Ellis

BUF · 59:47

Saves: 20/23
SV%: .870
xGA: 2.47
GSAx: −0.53

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	19/20	.950	2.13	+1.13
Power play	1/3	.333	0.34	−1.66
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/3	.667	0.58	−0.42

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Montréal Canadiens

Minutes

25:55Hutson
22:32Matheson
21:39Dobson
21:00Carrier
14:56Guhle
10:29Xhekaj

22:17Suzuki
19:17Caufield
18:14Slafkovský
16:10Demidov
16:02Kapanen
14:58Danault
13:45Texier
13:27Anderson
12:04Bolduc
11:12Veleno
10:58Gallagher
7:29Blais

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareMTLBUF

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

HutsonD2 O5
XhekajD0 O1
DobsonD2 O2
CarrierD4 O2
GuhleD3 O0
MathesonD6 O1
DemidovD0 O4
CaufieldD1 O4
SlafkovskýD1 O4
SuzukiD2 O4
TexierD0 O2
BolducD3 O3
KapanenD2 O2
GallagherD2 O1
BlaisD2 O0
DanaultD6 O2
AndersonD5 O1
VelenoD4 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period