CAR @ NSH 4–1 · 2025-12-17

Team	1	2	3	SOG
CAR	1	0	3	37
NSH	0	0	1	26

Story

– / 12

Result CAR 4–1Call No lean · CAR 66%xG 4.55–1.95 · deserved CAR 87%Swing Blake +15 1st 13:00Method

Goals and penalties with NSH win probability
Time	Event	NSH win before	NSH win after
1st 8:28	NSH penalty · B. Skjei · hooking · 2 min
1st 13:00	Goal CAR · J. Blake	35%	20%
1st 14:09	CAR penalty · J. Martinook · tripping · 2 min
2nd 5:20	NSH penalty · S. Stamkos · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 7:01	CAR penalty · S. Aho · high sticking · 2 min
2nd 10:25	CAR penalty · T. Hall · holding · 2 min
2nd 13:54	NSH penalty · R. O'Reilly · tripping · 2 min
3rd 1:24	NSH penalty · N. Perbix · delaying game puck over glass · 2 min
3rd 2:43	Goal CAR · S. Aho (PP)	16%	5%
3rd 4:33	Goal CAR · S. Jarvis	4%	1%
3rd 8:06	Goal NSH · F. Forsberg	1%	3%
3rd 19:15	Goal CAR · S. Aho (EN)	1%	1%

On ice · final horn

CAR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
28W. CarrierL	0:45	12:39	20	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	–
71T. HallL	0:45	12:49	17	0	0	0	1	1	2	1	0	0-3
77M. JankowskiL	0:45	11:19	15	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	6-8
19K. MillerD	0:45	19:34	24	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	–
26S. WalkerD	0:45	21:03	25	0	0	0	2	8	0	0	3	–
52P. KochetkovG		59:57	SA26GA1SV%.962xGA1.95GSAx+0.95

NSH5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
40F. SvechkovC	0:45	12:05	15	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	5-5
49R. SchaeferL	0:45	10:01	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	–
71M. WoodR	0:45	10:44	13	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	–
41N. HagueD	0:45	18:08	25	0	0	0	2	2	0	2	0	–
48N. PerbixD	0:45	18:23	20	0	0	0	2	5	2	1	1	–
74J. SarosG		57:58	SA36GA3SV%.917xGA3.58GSAx+0.58

Goals

1st
Jackson Blake(1)
L. Stankoven (1), A. Nikishin (1)
xG 0.06backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 CAR1st 13:00+14.880%
3rd
Sebastian Aho(1)PP
J. Blake (1), A. Svechnikov (1)
xG 0.11wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 CAR3rd 02:43+11.495%
Seth Jarvis(1)
S. Aho (1), N. Ehlers (1)
xG 0.10slapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–0 CAR3rd 04:33+3.299%
Filip Forsberg(1)
R. O'Reilly (1), S. Stamkos (1)
xG 0.25wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 CAR3rd 08:06+2.43%
Sebastian Aho(2)EN
A. Svechnikov (2)
xG 0.48wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–1 CAR3rd 19:15+0.099%

Shots

CAR4.55 xG54 unblocked · 16 blocked54 unblocked · 16 blocked

NSH1.95 xG41 unblocked · 14 blocked41 unblocked · 14 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

CARNSH4Goals14.55xG1.9537Shots2654Unblocked4170Attempts556High danger11/4Power play0/336Faceoffs4111Hits2314Blocks167Takeaways612Giveaways186PIM8

Skaters

Player

Player
24S. JarvisSeth JarvisC	21:41	1	0	1	4	5	0.34	+0.66	2	0	1	0	—	0	+1
26S. WalkerSean WalkerD	21:03	0	0	0	2	8	0.11	−0.11	0	3	0	0	—	0	+1
5J. ChatfieldJalen ChatfieldD	20:40	0	0	0	2	3	0.02	−0.02	0	2	0	0	—	0	0
20S. AhoSebastian AhoC	20:20	2	1	3	4	7	0.87	+1.13	0	1	0	2	47%	2	+1
19K. MillerK'Andre MillerD	19:34	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	2	1	1	—	0	+1
4S. GostisbehereShayne GostisbehereD	19:11	0	0	0	1	3	0.20	−0.20	0	0	0	1	—	0	-1
11J. StaalJordan StaalC	17:36	0	0	0	2	2	0.24	−0.24	2	0	0	0	58%	0	0
37A. SvechnikovAndrei SvechnikovR	17:31	0	2	2	3	7	0.46	−0.46	2	0	2	0	—	0	0
74J. SlavinJaccob SlavinD	16:47	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	0	1	2	1	—	0	+2
53J. BlakeJackson BlakeR	16:28	1	1	2	4	5	0.46	+0.54	0	0	0	1	—	0	+1
21A. NikishinAlexander NikishinD	16:23	0	1	1	3	5	0.23	−0.23	0	2	0	1	—	0	+1
27N. EhlersNikolaj EhlersL	15:30	0	1	1	1	4	0.19	−0.19	0	1	0	1	—	0	+2
50E. RobinsonEric RobinsonL	15:03	0	0	0	5	9	0.45	−0.45	0	0	0	0	0%	0	0
22L. StankovenLogan StankovenC	13:45	0	1	1	2	4	0.62	−0.62	1	2	1	0	46%	0	+1
71T. HallTaylor HallL	12:49	0	0	0	1	1	0.07	−0.07	1	0	0	0	0%	2	0
28W. CarrierWilliam CarrierL	12:39	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	—	0	0
77M. JankowskiMark JankowskiL	11:19	0	0	0	2	4	0.29	−0.29	0	0	0	1	43%	0	0
48J. MartinookJordan MartinookL	5:44	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	—	2	0
CAR total		4	7	11	37	69	4.55	−0.55	11	14	7	9	47%	6

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Blake+1.02

Aho+0.77

Stankoven+0.55

Svechnikov+0.33

Jarvis+0.30

Ehlers−0.08

Jankowski−0.15

Robinson−0.19

Martinook−0.28

Carrier−0.30

Staal−0.30

Hall−0.41

Defence

Nikishin+0.28

Slavin+0.16

Walker+0.16

Miller+0.08

Gostisbehere−0.05

Chatfield−0.14

Goalie

Kochetkov+0.96

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Aho·Jarvis·Svechnikov	10:41	15	13	13	50.0%	4	6	0	1	0.64	0.82	43.8%	−0.18	6	0	100%
Ehlers·Stankoven·Blake	9:52	13	14	8	63.6%	7	3	1	0	0.73	0.36	66.7%	+0.36	1	1	50%
Robinson·Hall·Jankowski	7:10	11	14	6	70.0%	6	2	0	0	0.58	0.06	90.3%	+0.51	2	1	67%
Carrier·Martinook·Staal	4:32	8	6	1	85.7%	3	0	0	0	0.12	0.01	91.7%	+0.11	0	0	—
Carrier·Robinson·Staal	3:17	7	1	5	16.7%	0	5	0	0	0.04	0.15	19.0%	−0.12	0	4	0%
Occasional · 8 groups
Hall·Jankowski·Jarvis	1:10	4	1	1	50.0%	1	0	0	0	0.03	0.03	43.6%	−0.01	0	0	—
Ehlers·Aho·Jarvis	0:45	4	1	0	100.0%	1	0	1	0	0.10	0.00	100.0%	+0.10	0	0	—
Carrier·Hall·Jankowski	0:45	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Carrier·Robinson·Jankowski	0:41	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Ehlers·Carrier·Staal	0:41	1	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	1	0%
Carrier·Staal·Svechnikov	0:36	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Hall·Jankowski·Blake	0:31	1	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.01	0.0%	−0.01	0	1	0%
Carrier·Stankoven·Blake	0:30	5	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
CAR 5v5	44:55		52	42	55.3%	24	20	2	1	2.33	1.58	59.5%	+0.75

Goalies

Pyotr Kochetkov

CAR · 59:57

Saves: 25/26
SV%: .962
xGA: 1.95
GSAx: +0.95

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	21/22	.955	1.66	+0.66
Power play	2/2	1.000	0.26	+0.26
Shorthanded	2/2	1.000	0.03	+0.03
High danger	0/1	.000	0.25	−0.75

Juuse Saros

NSH · 57:58

Saves: 33/36
SV%: .917
xGA: 3.58
GSAx: +0.58

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	22/24	.917	2.33	+0.33
Power play	7/8	.875	0.92	−0.08
Shorthanded	4/4	1.000	0.33	+0.33
High danger	3/3	1.000	0.71	+0.71

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Carolina Hurricanes

Minutes

21:03Walker
20:40Chatfield
19:34Miller
19:11Gostisbehere
16:47Slavin
16:23Nikishin

21:41Jarvis
20:20Aho
17:36Staal
17:31Svechnikov
16:28Blake
15:30Ehlers
15:03Robinson
13:45Stankoven
12:49Hall
12:39Carrier
11:19Jankowski
5:44Martinook

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCARNSH

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

GostisbehereD1 O5
WalkerD1 O5
MillerD1 O5
ChatfieldD4 O4
NikishinD3 O3
SlavinD7 O2
JarvisD0 O8
SvechnikovD0 O7
AhoD0 O5
StankovenD1 O4
HallD2 O4
EhlersD2 O4
MartinookD0 O1
BlakeD1 O2
JankowskiD3 O2
StaalD9 O5
CarrierD6 O2
RobinsonD7 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period