BUF @ EDM 4–3 · 2025-12-09

Team	1	2	3	OT	SOG
BUF	1	2	0	1	28
EDM	0	0	3	0	30

Story

– / 17

Result BUF 4–3 OTCall No lean · EDM 59%xG 2.74–2.69 · deserved BUF 51%Swing Tuch +53 OT 0:33Method

Goals and penalties with EDM win probability
Time	Event	EDM win before	EDM win after
1st 12:51	EDM penalty · D. Nurse · boarding · 2 min
1st 18:28	EDM penalty · D. Tomasek · interference goalkeeper · 2 min
1st 19:01	Goal BUF · J. Doan (PP)	57%	38%
2nd 5:27	BUF penalty · J. Quinn · hooking · 2 min
2nd 11:03	Goal BUF · T. Thompson	33%	16%
2nd 11:19	EDM penalty · Z. Hyman · interference · 2 min
2nd 11:59	Goal BUF · J. Doan (PP)	15%	6%
2nd 15:31	BUF penalty · B. Malenstyn · delaying game puck over glass · 2 min
3rd 0:10	Goal EDM · C. McDavid	3%	11%
3rd 1:56	Goal EDM · V. Podkolzin	10%	27%
3rd 7:51	BUF penalty · R. Dahlin · tripping · 2 min
3rd 12:51	EDM penalty · Z. Hyman · hooking · 2 min
3rd 13:59	EDM penalty · A. Henrique · tripping · 2 min
3rd 15:11	BUF penalty · A. Tuch · hooking · 2 min
3rd 17:17	EDM penalty · R. Nugent-Hopkins · hooking · 2 min
3rd 19:58	Goal EDM · C. McDavid	0%	53%
OT 0:33	Goal BUF · A. Tuch	53%	0%

On ice · final horn

BUF3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
71R. McLeodC	0:33	22:37	27	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	1	5-11
89A. TuchR	0:33	22:37	26	0	0	0	1	4	2	0	2	–
26R. DahlinD	0:33	22:58	28	0	2	2	4	10	2	0	0	–
34A. LyonG		41:32	SA24GA3SV%.875xGA2.31GSAx−0.69

EDM3 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
29L. DraisaitlC	0:33	24:19	23	0	1	1	7	13	0	0	0	15-7
97C. McDavidC	0:33	25:51	23	2	0	2	6	9	0	0	1	3-8
2E. BouchardD	0:33	28:34	26	0	1	1	2	7	0	1	0	–
74S. SkinnerG		59:22	SA27GA3SV%.889xGA2.63GSAx−0.37

Goals

1st
Josh Doan(1)PP
R. Dahlin (1), T. Thompson (1)
xG 0.08tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 BUF1st 19:01+19.762%
2nd
Tage Thompson(1)
Unassisted
xG 0.29snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 BUF2nd 11:03+17.684%
Josh Doan(2)PP
T. Thompson (2), R. Dahlin (2)
xG 0.15between-legsClip(opens nhl.com)
3–0 BUF2nd 11:59+9.594%
3rd
Connor McDavid(1)
M. Ekholm (1)
xG 0.13wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 BUF3rd 00:10+7.511%
Vasily Podkolzin(1)
L. Draisaitl (1), T. Emberson (1)
xG 0.09wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–2 BUF3rd 01:56+17.427%
Connor McDavid(2)6v5
R. Nugent-Hopkins (1), E. Bouchard (1)
xG 0.12snapClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied3rd 19:58+53.053%
OT
Alex Tuch(1)
R. McLeod (1), R. Dahlin (3)
xG 0.12wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–3 BUFOT 00:33+53.5100%

Shots

BUF2.74 xG36 unblocked · 17 blocked36 unblocked · 17 blocked

EDM2.69 xG44 unblocked · 14 blocked44 unblocked · 14 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

BUFEDM4Goals32.74xG2.6928Shots3036Unblocked4453Attempts583High danger12/6Power play0/421Faceoffs3414Hits1714Blocks176Takeaways310Giveaways148PIM12

Skaters

Player

Player
23M. SamuelssonMattias SamuelssonD	26:09	0	0	0	1	2	0.04	−0.04	1	2	0	1	—	0	0
26R. DahlinRasmus DahlinD	22:58	0	3	3	4	10	0.24	−0.24	0	0	0	1	—	2	0
89A. TuchAlex TuchR	22:37	1	0	1	2	5	0.27	+0.73	0	1	0	0	—	2	+2
71R. McLeodRyan McLeodC	22:37	0	1	1	2	2	0.06	−0.06	0	1	1	1	31%	0	-1
21C. TimminsConor TimminsD	22:09	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	—	0	-1
4B. ByramBowen ByramD	21:14	0	0	0	0	3	0.12	−0.12	0	3	0	0	—	0	-1
72T. ThompsonTage ThompsonC	19:11	1	2	3	4	5	0.76	+0.24	0	0	2	0	56%	0	+1
25O. PowerOwen PowerD	17:54	0	0	0	2	2	0.14	−0.14	1	1	0	2	—	0	0
6Z. BensonZach BensonL	16:50	0	0	0	2	3	0.14	−0.14	0	2	0	1	0%	0	-1
19P. KrebsPeyton KrebsC	16:10	0	0	0	1	1	0.02	−0.02	2	0	1	0	38%	0	+1
22J. QuinnJack QuinnR	15:07	0	0	0	2	3	0.14	−0.14	0	0	0	0	0%	2	-1
91J. DoanJosh DoanR	15:07	2	0	2	5	9	0.50	+1.50	1	0	0	1	0%	0	-2
48T. KozakTyson KozakC	11:35	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	3	0	0	1	50%	0	-1
29B. MalenstynBeck MalenstynL	11:23	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	−0.17	4	0	0	0	—	2	-1
12J. GreenwayJordan GreenwayL	9:40	0	0	0	1	1	0.08	−0.08	0	0	1	0	0%	0	0
63I. RosenIsak RosenR	9:05	0	0	0	1	1	0.04	−0.04	0	0	1	0	—	0	-1
44J. DunneJosh DunneC	7:45	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	1	1	0	1	40%	0	0
78J. BrysonJacob BrysonD	6:08	0	0	0	1	1	0.04	−0.04	1	1	0	0	—	0	-1
BUF total		4	6	10	28	53	2.74	+1.26	14	12	6	9	38%	8

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Thompson+1.37

Doan+1.29

Tuch+0.32

McLeod+0.06

Krebs−0.11

Dunne−0.12

Greenway−0.19

Benson−0.20

Malenstyn−0.25

Rosen−0.26

Kozak−0.31

Quinn−0.53

Defence

Dahlin+0.35

Byram+0.09

Bryson0.00

Timmins−0.08

Power−0.12

Samuelsson−0.12

Goalie

Lyon−0.68

Ellis+0.39

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Krebs·Thompson·Tuch	9:59	14	11	12	47.8%	6	5	1	0	0.80	0.36	69.1%	+0.44	3	1	75%
Benson·Kozak·Doan	8:20	17	7	5	58.3%	3	3	0	1	0.26	0.29	47.1%	−0.03	1	3	25%
McLeod·Quinn·Rosen	6:23	13	5	5	50.0%	4	5	0	1	0.26	0.46	35.9%	−0.20	1	2	33%
Greenway·Malenstyn·Dunne	5:58	11	6	4	60.0%	2	1	0	0	0.29	0.10	74.8%	+0.19	1	0	100%
Occasional · 7 groups
Krebs·Thompson·Quinn	1:37	3	1	3	25.0%	1	2	0	0	0.06	0.12	32.5%	−0.06	0	0	—
Krebs·McLeod·Tuch	1:14	7	2	1	66.7%	0	0	0	0	0.06	0.00	100.0%	+0.06	0	0	—
Krebs·McLeod·Quinn	1:01	6	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.08	0.0%	−0.08	0	1	0%
McLeod·Rosen·Tuch	0:43	2	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.05	0.0%	−0.05	0	0	—
Benson·McLeod·Quinn	0:42	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Thompson·Tuch·Doan	0:40	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Greenway·Malenstyn·Kozak	0:31	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
BUF 5v5	43:46		35	38	47.9%	16	21	1	2	1.73	1.75	49.6%	−0.03

Goalies

Alex Lyon

BUF · 41:32

Saves: 21/24
SV%: .875
xGA: 2.31
GSAx: −0.69

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	14/17	.824	1.60	−1.40
Power play	6/6	1.000	0.69	+0.69
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.01	+0.01
High danger	1/1	1.000	0.29	+0.29

Colten Ellis

BUF · 19:01

Saves: 6/6
SV%: 1.000
xGA: 0.39
GSAx: +0.39

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	6/6	1.000	0.39	+0.39
Power play	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	0/0	—	0.00	0.00

Stuart Skinner

EDM · 59:22

Saves: 24/28
SV%: .857
xGA: 2.74
GSAx: −1.26

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	15/17	.882	1.84	−0.16
Power play	9/11	.818	0.90	−1.10
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/3	.667	0.62	−0.38

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Buffalo Sabres

Minutes

26:09Samuelsson
22:58Dahlin
22:09Timmins
21:14Byram
17:54Power
6:08Bryson

22:37Tuch
22:37McLeod
19:11Thompson
16:50Benson
16:10Krebs
15:07Quinn
15:07Doan
11:35Kozak
11:23Malenstyn
9:40Greenway
9:05Rosen
7:45Dunne

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareBUFEDM

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

DahlinD0 O6
BrysonD0 O0
SamuelssonD4 O4
PowerD3 O3
ByramD3 O2
TimminsD7 O0
ThompsonD2 O8
GreenwayD0 O1
QuinnD3 O4
DunneD0 O1
DoanD3 O4
TuchD5 O5
MalenstynD1 O1
RosenD2 O2
KrebsD4 O3
BensonD3 O2
McLeodD6 O4
KozakD5 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period