WPG @ BUF 1–5 · 2025-12-01

Team	1	2	3	SOG
WPG	0	1	0	24
BUF	3	1	1	31

Story

– / 14

Result BUF 5–1Call No lean · WPG 51%xG 1.95–2.88 · deserved BUF 67%Swing Zucker +17 1st 2:46Method

Goals and penalties with BUF win probability
Time	Event	BUF win before	BUF win after
1st 1:31	WPG penalty · D. DeMelo · holding · 2 min
1st 2:46	Goal BUF · J. Zucker (PP)	49%	66%
1st 3:01	Goal BUF · B. Byram	66%	80%
1st 8:50	BUF penalty · R. Dahlin · interference · 2 min
1st 14:54	Goal BUF · J. Norris	83%	93%
2nd 11:26	Goal WPG · K. Connor	96%	89%
2nd 12:49	Goal BUF · A. Tuch	89%	97%
3rd 0:41	Goal BUF · J. Norris	98%	100%
3rd 3:51	WPG penalty · L. Stanley · elbowing · 2 min
3rd 8:52	BUF penalty · J. Zucker · delaying game puck over glass · 2 min
3rd 14:01	WPG penalty · L. Stanley · roughing · 2 min
3rd 14:01	BUF penalty · B. Malenstyn · misconduct · 10 min
3rd 14:01	WPG penalty · V. Namestnikov · misconduct · 10 min
3rd 14:01	WPG penalty · L. Stanley · misconduct · 10 min

On ice · final horn

WPG5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
36M. BarronC	0:19	12:22	17	0	0	0	2	2	0	3	1	4-8
9A. IafalloL	0:15	15:18	19	0	0	0	1	2	0	3	0	–
62N. NiederreiterR	0:15	12:23	17	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	1	–
2D. DeMeloD	0:19	22:00	25	0	0	0	1	3	2	3	2	–
5L. SchennD	0:19	17:28	22	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	1	–
32T. MilicG		40:00	SA17GA2SV%.882xGA1.64GSAx−0.36

BUF5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
71R. McLeodC	0:15	16:01	19	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	1	5-6
86N. OstlundC	0:15	12:03	17	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	4-1
17J. ZuckerL	0:15	13:58	18	1	0	1	2	2	2	0	1	–
25O. PowerD	0:15	20:21	24	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	–
78J. BrysonD	0:15	13:50	20	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	–
1U. LuukkonenG		60:00	SA24GA1SV%.958xGA1.95GSAx+0.95

Goals

1st
Jason Zucker(1)PP
J. Doan (1), J. Norris (1)
xG 0.12tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 BUF1st 02:46+17.466%
Bowen Byram(1)
J. Quinn (1), C. Timmins (1)
xG 0.12wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 BUF1st 03:01+14.480%
Josh Norris(1)
T. Thompson (1), Z. Benson (1)
xG 0.08backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
0–3 BUF1st 14:54+9.393%
2nd
Kyle Connor(1)
J. Morrissey (1), M. Scheifele (1)
xG 0.24slapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 BUF2nd 11:26+7.511%
Alex Tuch(1)
J. Doan (2)
xG 0.12wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–4 BUF2nd 12:49+7.397%
3rd
Josh Norris(2)
Z. Benson (2), R. Dahlin (1)
xG 0.12backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
1–5 BUF3rd 00:41+1.3100%

Shots

WPG1.95 xG36 unblocked · 10 blocked36 unblocked · 10 blocked

BUF2.88 xG39 unblocked · 19 blocked39 unblocked · 19 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

WPGBUF1Goals51.95xG2.8824Shots3136Unblocked3946Attempts581High danger30/2Power play1/321Faceoffs2335Hits1219Blocks101Takeaways613Giveaways826PIM14

Skaters

Player

Player
44J. MorrisseyJosh MorrisseyD	23:49	0	1	1	1	6	0.25	−0.25	0	2	0	1	—	0	0
2D. DeMeloDylan DeMeloD	22:00	0	0	0	1	3	0.02	−0.02	3	2	0	2	—	2	0
54D. SambergDylan SambergD	21:02	0	0	0	1	2	0.01	−0.01	3	3	0	2	—	0	-1
81K. ConnorKyle ConnorL	19:12	1	0	1	2	3	0.32	+0.68	0	1	0	0	—	0	-1
13G. VilardiGabriel VilardiC	18:41	0	0	0	2	2	0.20	−0.20	1	0	0	1	—	0	-1
55M. ScheifeleMark ScheifeleC	17:54	0	1	1	0	2	0.16	−0.16	0	1	0	1	33%	0	-1
5L. SchennLuke SchennD	17:28	0	0	0	1	2	0.07	−0.07	2	1	0	1	—	0	-2
6C. MillerColin MillerD	17:00	0	0	0	1	5	0.06	−0.06	2	1	0	1	—	0	-2
19J. ToewsJonathan ToewsC	15:24	0	0	0	2	2	0.07	−0.07	0	0	0	1	73%	0	0
9A. IafalloAlex IafalloL	15:18	0	0	0	1	2	0.14	−0.14	3	0	1	0	—	0	-2
64L. StanleyLogan StanleyD	15:17	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	2	1	0	0	—	14	-1
91C. PerfettiCole PerfettiC	15:01	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	3	2	0	1	—	0	0
17A. LowryAdam LowryC	14:34	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	1	0	0	63%	0	-2
7V. NamestnikovVladislav NamestnikovC	14:03	0	0	0	2	5	0.28	−0.28	3	1	0	1	0%	10	0
62N. NiederreiterNino NiederreiterR	12:23	0	0	0	1	1	0.03	−0.03	1	1	0	0	—	0	-2
36M. BarronMorgan BarronC	12:22	0	0	0	2	2	0.11	−0.11	3	0	0	0	33%	0	0
70T. PearsonTanner PearsonL	12:09	0	0	0	2	4	0.06	−0.06	4	0	0	0	—	0	0
14G. NyquistGustav NyquistR	11:08	0	0	0	3	3	0.15	−0.15	3	0	0	1	—	0	0
WPG total		1	2	3	24	46	1.95	−0.95	35	17	1	13	48%	26

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Connor+0.39

Nyquist−0.16

Barron−0.16

Scheifele−0.17

Vilardi−0.21

Pearson−0.22

Perfetti−0.25

Niederreiter−0.27

Lowry−0.29

Namestnikov−0.31

Iafallo−0.36

Toews−0.42

Defence

Morrissey+0.41

Samberg+0.02

DeMelo−0.10

Miller−0.21

Schenn−0.22

Stanley−0.54

Goalie

Milic−0.35

Comrie−1.75

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Connor·Vilardi·Scheifele	13:13	18	10	12	45.5%	4	7	1	2	0.49	0.62	44.2%	−0.13	1	1	50%
Namestnikov·Toews·Perfetti	11:25	15	10	17	37.0%	5	8	0	0	0.38	0.91	29.4%	−0.53	1	2	33%
Iafallo·Lowry·Niederreiter	8:19	14	1	7	12.5%	0	3	0	2	0.01	0.34	2.2%	−0.33	0	2	0%
Pearson·Barron·Nyquist	6:50	13	9	6	60.0%	6	3	0	0	0.25	0.28	47.9%	−0.02	0	2	0%
Occasional · 6 groups
Iafallo·Pearson·Lowry	1:15	3	0	2	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.02	0.0%	−0.02	0	0	—
Pearson·Lowry·Nyquist	1:10	2	1	3	25.0%	0	3	0	0	0.00	0.13	0.0%	−0.13	1	0	100%
Connor·Vilardi·Toews	0:54	3	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.04	0.0%	−0.04	0	0	—
Iafallo·Barron·Niederreiter	0:54	3	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	1	1	50%
Toews·Perfetti·Niederreiter	0:46	3	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Iafallo·Pearson·Barron	0:37	2	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.05	0.00	100.0%	+0.05	0	0	—
WPG 5v5	50:45		38	52	42.2%	19	28	1	4	1.44	2.58	35.8%	−1.14

Goalies

Thomas Milic

WPG · 40:00

Saves: 15/17
SV%: .882
xGA: 1.64
GSAx: −0.36

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	14/16	.875	1.57	−0.43
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.07	+0.07
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/1	1.000	0.38	+0.38

Eric Comrie

WPG · 20:00

Saves: 11/14
SV%: .786
xGA: 1.24
GSAx: −1.76

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	10/12	.833	1.01	−0.99
Power play	1/2	.500	0.24	−0.76
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/1	1.000	0.19	+0.19

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

BUF · 60:00

Saves: 23/24
SV%: .958
xGA: 1.95
GSAx: +0.95

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	18/19	.947	1.44	+0.44
Power play	4/4	1.000	0.44	+0.44
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.08	+0.08
High danger	0/1	.000	0.24	−0.76

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Winnipeg Jets

Minutes

23:49Morrissey
22:00DeMelo
21:02Samberg
17:28Schenn
17:00Miller
15:17Stanley

19:12Connor
18:41Vilardi
17:54Scheifele
15:24Toews
15:18Iafallo
15:01Perfetti
14:34Lowry
14:03Namestnikov
12:23Niederreiter
12:22Barron
12:09Pearson
11:08Nyquist

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareWPGBUF

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

MorrisseyD2 O4
MillerD1 O1
DeMeloD3 O2
StanleyD1 O0
SchennD3 O0
SambergD4 O1
ConnorD0 O2
VilardiD0 O2
ScheifeleD1 O2
PerfettiD2 O2
ToewsD2 O1
NyquistD2 O1
NamestnikovD2 O1
PearsonD2 O1
IafalloD3 O2
NiederreiterD3 O1
LowryD4 O1
BarronD5 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period