TBL @ NYR 4–1 · 2025-11-29

Team	1	2	3	SOG
TBL	1	1	2	35
NYR	0	1	0	13

Story

– / 9

Result TBL 4–1Call TBL 51% xG 6.12–1.52 · deserved TBL 97%Swing Hagel +18 1st 10:53Method

Goals and penalties with NYR win probability
Time	Event	NYR win before	NYR win after
1st 10:53	Goal TBL · B. Hagel	49%	31%
1st 15:48	TBL penalty · C. D'Astous · slashing · 2 min
2nd 4:16	NYR penalty · M. Robertson · holding · 2 min
2nd 8:57	Goal TBL · B. Hagel	27%	11%
2nd 17:31	Goal NYR · J. Miller	8%	23%
2nd 19:41	NYR penalty · I. Shesterkin · interference · 2 min
3rd 2:02	Goal TBL · N. Paul	21%	6%
3rd 11:56	TBL penalty · G. Goncalves · holding the stick · 2 min
3rd 19:42	Goal TBL · J. Guentzel (EN)	1%	1%

On ice · final horn

TBL5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
17D. JamesC	0:18	9:20	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3-1
42C. DouglasC	0:18	5:06	7	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	1-0
93G. GoncalvesC	0:18	8:15	13	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	–
16S. SantiniD	0:18	10:41	14	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	1	–
67D. CarlileD	0:18	13:05	17	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	–
31J. JohanssonG		60:00	SA13GA1SV%.923xGA1.52GSAx+0.52

NYR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
39S. CarrickC	0:18	6:55	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2-1
84A. EdstromC	0:18	7:01	10	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	–
14T. RaddyshR	0:18	9:39	14	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	2	0-1
4B. SchneiderD	0:18	15:48	18	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	–
29M. RobertsonD	0:18	13:10	17	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	–
31I. ShesterkinG		57:35	SA34GA3SV%.912xGA4.15GSAx+1.15

Goals

1st
Brandon Hagel(1)
D. Raddysh (1), N. Kucherov (1)
xG 0.03wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–0 TBL1st 10:53+18.469%
2nd
Brandon Hagel(2)
N. Kucherov (2), D. Raddysh (2)
xG 0.07wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–0 TBL2nd 08:57+15.389%
J.T. Miller(1)
A. Fox (1), M. Zibanejad (1)
xG 0.14deflectedClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 TBL2nd 17:31+15.223%
3rd
Nick Paul(1)
N. Kucherov (3), C. D'Astous (1)
xG 0.11tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
3–1 TBL3rd 02:02+14.794%
Jake Guentzel(1)EN
Y. Gourde (1), D. Raddysh (3)
xG 0.50wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–1 TBL3rd 19:42+0.099%

Shots

TBL6.12 xG55 unblocked · 15 blocked55 unblocked · 15 blocked

NYR1.52 xG30 unblocked · 22 blocked30 unblocked · 22 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

TBLNYR4Goals16.12xG1.5235Shots1355Unblocked3070Attempts529High danger00/2Power play0/217Faceoffs3116Hits2422Blocks153Takeaways319Giveaways134PIM4

Skaters

Player

Player
43D. RaddyshDarren RaddyshD	25:22	0	3	3	5	9	0.26	−0.26	0	2	0	4	—	0	+3
90J. MoserJ.J. MoserD	23:44	0	0	0	3	6	0.26	−0.26	1	0	0	1	—	0	+3
78E. LillebergEmil LillebergD	22:17	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	−0.10	1	2	1	2	—	0	0
86N. KucherovNikita KucherovR	21:40	0	3	3	3	6	0.78	−0.78	1	1	0	1	—	0	+3
51C. D'AstousCharle-Edouard D'AstousD	20:44	0	1	1	1	2	0.09	−0.09	1	4	1	0	—	2	0
71A. CirelliAnthony CirelliC	19:05	0	0	0	3	3	0.52	−0.52	1	1	0	1	23%	0	+2
38B. HagelBrandon HagelL	18:59	2	0	2	5	10	1.25	+0.75	2	2	1	3	0%	0	+3
37Y. GourdeYanni GourdeC	18:21	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	25%	0	+1
28Z. GirgensonsZemgus GirgensonsC	17:51	0	0	0	4	7	0.62	−0.62	4	1	0	2	33%	0	0
59J. GuentzelJake GuentzelC	17:51	1	0	1	4	8	0.86	+0.14	0	0	0	2	50%	0	+1
29P. HolmbergPontus HolmbergR	16:03	0	0	0	1	3	0.73	−0.73	0	1	0	0	—	0	+1
20N. PaulNick PaulL	14:11	1	0	1	3	4	0.28	+0.72	1	2	0	0	45%	0	0
22O. BjorkstrandOliver BjorkstrandR	13:25	0	0	0	3	4	0.33	−0.33	1	2	0	0	—	0	0
67D. CarlileDeclan CarlileD	13:05	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	0	1	0	0	—	0	0
16S. SantiniSteven SantiniD	10:41	0	0	0	0	4	0.03	−0.03	0	1	0	1	—	0	0
17D. JamesDominic JamesC	9:20	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	75%	0	0
93G. GoncalvesGage GoncalvesC	8:15	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	1	—	2	-1
42C. DouglasCurtis DouglasC	5:06	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	1	100%	0	-1
TBL total		4	8	12	35	70	6.12	−2.12	16	20	3	19	35%	4

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Hagel+1.60

Kucherov+1.15

Paul+0.69

Gourde+0.25

James+0.03

Bjorkstrand−0.07

Cirelli−0.08

Girgensons−0.11

Douglas−0.12

Holmberg−0.17

Guentzel−0.28

Goncalves−0.34

Defence

Raddysh+0.95

D'Astous+0.31

Lilleberg+0.09

Moser+0.07

Carlile+0.03

Santini−0.01

Goalie

Johansson+0.53

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Girgensons·Gourde·Holmberg	13:28	16	17	13	56.7%	7	4	0	0	1.10	0.42	72.4%	+0.68	2	3	40%
Hagel·Cirelli·Kucherov	11:39	16	17	8	68.0%	11	1	2	0	1.38	0.05	96.7%	+1.33	3	3	50%
James·Guentzel·Bjorkstrand	7:07	9	9	4	69.2%	2	0	0	0	0.22	0.09	69.8%	+0.12	1	0	100%
Paul·Douglas·Goncalves	4:13	6	2	3	40.0%	2	3	0	1	0.12	0.17	41.2%	−0.05	0	0	—
Occasional · 7 groups
Paul·Guentzel·Kucherov	1:45	3	1	1	50.0%	1	0	0	0	0.07	0.07	49.3%	−0.00	0	0	—
Paul·Guentzel·Goncalves	1:39	3	5	1	83.3%	2	0	0	0	0.21	0.01	95.7%	+0.20	1	0	100%
Guentzel·Cirelli·Kucherov	1:11	2	4	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.11	0.00	100.0%	+0.11	0	0	—
Paul·Goncalves·Bjorkstrand	0:59	1	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Hagel·Cirelli·Bjorkstrand	0:52	2	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.08	0.00	100.0%	+0.08	1	0	100%
Paul·Guentzel·Bjorkstrand	0:43	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
Hagel·Guentzel·Cirelli	0:35	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
TBL 5v5	49:35		59	36	62.1%	30	9	3	1	3.68	0.96	79.4%	+2.72

Goalies

Jonas Johansson

TBL · 60:00

Saves: 12/13
SV%: .923
xGA: 1.52
GSAx: +0.52

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	9/10	.900	1.20	+0.20
Power play	2/2	1.000	0.18	+0.18
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.14	+0.14
High danger	0/0	—	0.00	0.00

Igor Shesterkin

NYR · 57:35

Saves: 31/34
SV%: .912
xGA: 4.15
GSAx: +1.15

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	27/30	.900	3.68	+0.68
Power play	4/4	1.000	0.47	+0.47
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	5/5	1.000	1.10	+1.10

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Tampa Bay Lightning

Minutes

25:22D. Raddysh
23:44Moser
22:17Lilleberg
20:44D'Astous
13:05Carlile
10:41Santini

21:40Kucherov
19:05Cirelli
18:59Hagel
18:21Gourde
17:51Girgensons
17:51Guentzel
16:03Holmberg
14:11Paul
13:25Bjorkstrand
9:20James
8:15Goncalves
5:06Douglas

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareTBLNYR

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

SantiniD0 O0
CarlileD0 O0
D'AstousD4 O3
D. RaddyshD3 O0
LillebergD5 O2
MoserD5 O1
GuentzelD0 O4
BjorkstrandD0 O4
PaulD0 O4
GoncalvesD0 O1
JamesD0 O1
DouglasD0 O0
KucherovD4 O3
GirgensonsD3 O2
CirelliD5 O4
HolmbergD3 O2
GourdeD3 O1
HagelD7 O4

Shift starts · darker = later period