BUF @ PIT 2–4 · 2025-11-26

Team	1	2	3	SOG
BUF	0	0	2	31
PIT	1	0	3	19

Story

– / 7

Result PIT 4–2Call No lean · PIT 65%xG 3.09–2.17 · deserved BUF 66%Swing Rust +29 3rd 7:51Method

Goals and penalties with PIT win probability
Time	Event	PIT win before	PIT win after
1st 8:57	BUF penalty · C. Timmins · tripping · 2 min
1st 17:09	Goal PIT · M. Dumba	63%	80%
3rd 7:20	Goal BUF · J. Zucker	87%	58%
3rd 7:51	Goal PIT · B. Rust	58%	87%
3rd 12:34	Goal PIT · K. Hayes	91%	99%
3rd 15:42	Goal BUF · J. Quinn	99%	94%
3rd 19:02	Goal PIT · C. Dewar (EN)	98%	99%

On ice · final horn

BUF5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
19P. KrebsC	0:26	9:10	11	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	2-5
44J. DunneC	0:26	8:11	10	0	0	0	2	4	0	1	0	–
29B. MalenstynL	0:23	9:44	13	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	1	–
23M. SamuelssonD	0:58	27:47	25	0	1	1	5	7	0	1	4	–
78J. BrysonD	0:19	12:34	16	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	–
1U. LuukkonenG		59:23	SA18GA3SV%.833xGA1.69GSAx−1.31

PIT5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
18T. NovakC	0:26	13:53	15	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-1
71E. MalkinC	0:58	18:46	20	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	3-3
41V. KoivunenR	0:25	11:33	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	–
24M. DumbaD	0:25	16:16	18	1	0	1	1	3	0	2	0	–
27R. GravesD	0:26	15:25	18	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	2	–
35T. JarryG		60:00	SA31GA2SV%.935xGA3.09GSAx+1.09

Goals

1st
Mathew Dumba(1)
Unassisted
xG 0.03wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 PIT1st 17:09+17.180%
3rd
Jason Zucker(1)
J. Quinn (1), R. McLeod (1)
xG 0.09tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied3rd 07:20+28.742%
Bryan Rust(1)
R. Shea (1)
xG 0.06wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 PIT3rd 07:51+29.187%
Kevin Hayes(1)
E. Karlsson (1), P. Wotherspoon (1)
xG 0.16tip-inClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 PIT3rd 12:34+8.099%
Jack Quinn(1)
J. Zucker (1), M. Samuelsson (1)
xG 0.09wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 PIT3rd 15:42+5.66%
Connor Dewar(1)EN
D. Heinen (1), R. Shea (2)
xG 0.48wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 PIT3rd 19:02+1.199%

Shots

BUF3.09 xG49 unblocked · 11 blocked49 unblocked · 11 blocked

PIT2.17 xG30 unblocked · 16 blocked30 unblocked · 16 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

BUFPIT2Goals43.09xG2.1731Shots1949Unblocked3060Attempts463High danger30/0Power play0/115Faceoffs2121Hits1716Blocks118Takeaways615Giveaways142PIM0

Skaters

Player

Player
23M. SamuelssonMattias SamuelssonD	27:47	0	1	1	5	7	0.34	−0.34	1	4	1	1	—	0	+1
26R. DahlinRasmus DahlinD	25:06	0	0	0	5	7	0.19	−0.19	1	1	0	3	—	0	0
4B. ByramBowen ByramD	20:13	0	0	0	2	2	0.11	−0.11	0	0	1	0	—	0	-1
25O. PowerOwen PowerD	19:25	0	0	0	1	1	0.01	−0.01	2	0	0	0	—	0	-1
22J. QuinnJack QuinnR	18:39	1	1	2	2	6	0.47	+0.53	0	1	0	0	—	0	+1
72T. ThompsonTage ThompsonC	18:33	0	0	0	2	6	0.25	−0.25	1	0	0	0	38%	0	-3
17J. ZuckerJason ZuckerL	18:28	1	1	2	4	7	0.53	+0.47	0	0	0	1	—	0	+1
71R. McLeodRyan McLeodC	18:01	0	1	1	1	5	0.09	−0.09	1	0	1	2	44%	0	+1
89A. TuchAlex TuchR	17:40	0	0	0	2	3	0.29	−0.29	4	1	0	0	100%	0	-2
6Z. BensonZach BensonL	16:09	0	0	0	1	2	0.04	−0.04	0	0	1	2	—	0	-1
91J. DoanJosh DoanR	16:02	0	0	0	1	1	0.11	−0.11	0	1	2	2	—	0	-1
48T. KozakTyson KozakC	15:22	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.00	2	4	0	1	57%	0	-1
21C. TimminsConor TimminsD	14:06	0	0	0	1	4	0.14	−0.14	0	2	1	1	—	2	-1
86N. OstlundNoah OstlundC	13:27	0	0	0	1	2	0.24	−0.24	0	0	1	1	25%	0	-1
78J. BrysonJacob BrysonD	12:34	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	—	0	-1
29B. MalenstynBeck MalenstynL	9:44	0	0	0	1	1	0.02	−0.02	4	1	0	1	—	0	-1
19P. KrebsPeyton KrebsC	9:10	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	−0.04	3	0	0	0	29%	0	0
44J. DunneJosh DunneC	8:11	0	0	0	2	4	0.21	−0.21	1	0	0	0	—	0	-1
BUF total		2	4	6	31	60	3.09	−1.09	21	15	8	15	42%	2

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Quinn+1.15

Zucker+1.11

Kozak−0.03

McLeod−0.10

Dunne−0.10

Malenstyn−0.14

Krebs−0.16

Ostlund−0.22

Tuch−0.27

Doan−0.28

Benson−0.32

Thompson−0.42

Defence

Samuelsson+0.51

Dahlin+0.13

Bryson−0.11

Timmins−0.15

Power−0.19

Byram−0.22

Goalie

Luukkonen−1.30

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Zucker·McLeod·Quinn	14:11	20	20	10	66.7%	8	4	2	0	1.17	0.28	80.7%	+0.89	4	2	67%
Malenstyn·Krebs·Dunne	6:59	10	12	2	85.7%	6	1	0	0	0.40	0.17	70.5%	+0.23	0	1	0%
Benson·Thompson·Tuch	6:55	10	6	8	42.9%	3	3	0	1	0.36	0.17	67.2%	+0.18	1	1	50%
Thompson·Tuch·Doan	6:50	10	0	3	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.23	0.0%	−0.23	1	0	100%
Benson·Kozak·Ostlund	5:33	8	0	5	0.0%	0	2	0	0	0.00	0.22	0.0%	−0.22	1	1	50%
Kozak·Ostlund·Doan	5:12	8	10	3	76.9%	7	0	0	0	0.55	0.00	100.0%	+0.55	2	0	100%
Occasional · 6 groups
Zucker·Thompson·Quinn	1:18	5	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Benson·Kozak·Doan	1:10	1	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Malenstyn·Kozak·Ostlund	1:00	1	0	2	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	0	0	—
Kozak·Thompson·Tuch	0:35	3	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Malenstyn·Krebs·Kozak	0:34	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Benson·Thompson·Doan	0:30	4	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
BUF 5v5	57:23		54	41	56.8%	27	17	2	3	2.67	1.51	63.9%	+1.16

Goalies

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

BUF · 59:23

Saves: 15/18
SV%: .833
xGA: 1.69
GSAx: −1.31

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	14/17	.824	1.51	−1.49
Power play	1/1	1.000	0.18	+0.18
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/2	.500	0.33	−0.67

Tristan Jarry

PIT · 60:00

Saves: 29/31
SV%: .935
xGA: 3.09
GSAx: +1.09

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	28/30	.933	3.00	+1.00
Power play	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.10	+0.10
High danger	2/2	1.000	0.57	+0.57

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Buffalo Sabres

Minutes

27:47Samuelsson
25:06Dahlin
20:13Byram
19:25Power
14:06Timmins
12:34Bryson

18:39Quinn
18:33Thompson
18:28Zucker
18:01McLeod
17:40Tuch
16:09Benson
16:02Doan
15:22Kozak
13:27Ostlund
9:44Malenstyn
9:10Krebs
8:11Dunne

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareBUFPIT

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

TimminsD0 O1
DahlinD2 O3
SamuelssonD3 O3
BrysonD1 O0
ByramD2 O1
PowerD3 O0
DoanD0 O3
ZuckerD2 O4
McLeodD2 O4
QuinnD2 O4
OstlundD0 O2
ThompsonD1 O2
KozakD2 O3
TuchD2 O1
KrebsD1 O0
DunneD1 O0
BensonD2 O1
MalenstynD2 O0

Shift starts · darker = later period