CAR @ TOR 5–4 · 2025-11-09

Team	1	2	3	SOG
CAR	2	1	2	47
TOR	3	1	0	20

Story

– / 18

Result CAR 5–4Call No lean · CAR 56%xG 4.33–2.02 · deserved CAR 83%Swing Stankoven +36 3rd 12:13Method

Goals and penalties with TOR win probability
Time	Event	TOR win before	TOR win after
1st 5:00	Goal TOR · W. Nylander	44%	62%
1st 8:00	TOR penalty · J. McCabe · holding · 2 min
1st 8:34	Goal CAR · S. Aho (PP)	63%	44%
1st 14:31	Goal CAR · S. Jarvis	44%	26%
1st 15:31	Goal TOR · J. Tavares	26%	45%
1st 17:48	CAR penalty · K. Miller · hooking · 2 min
1st 19:01	Goal TOR · W. Nylander (PP)	45%	66%
2nd 0:00	CAR penalty · C. Legault · roughing · 2 min
2nd 0:00	TOR penalty · B. McMann · roughing · 2 min
2nd 0:31	TOR penalty · W. Nylander · hooking · 2 min
2nd 7:06	TOR penalty · J. McCabe · interference · 2 min
2nd 11:03	Goal TOR · A. Matthews	70%	87%
2nd 16:51	Goal CAR · S. Walker	90%	73%
2nd 17:47	CAR penalty · J. Blake · slashing · 2 min
3rd 3:20	Goal CAR · T. Hall	77%	46%
3rd 4:56	CAR penalty · J. Staal · tripping · 2 min
3rd 7:00	TOR penalty · W. Nylander · hooking · 2 min
3rd 12:13	Goal CAR · L. Stankoven	47%	11%

On ice · final horn

CAR5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
20S. AhoC	0:52	20:26	24	1	0	1	5	7	0	0	0	6-12
24S. JarvisC	0:52	19:59	23	1	0	1	5	8	0	1	0	0-1
37A. SvechnikovR	0:53	17:30	20	0	1	1	6	8	0	3	0	1-0
19K. MillerD	1:23	25:33	32	0	2	2	4	5	2	0	1	–
26S. WalkerD	1:23	26:43	34	1	0	1	2	5	0	2	2	–
32B. BussiG		60:00	SA20GA4SV%.800xGA2.02GSAx−1.98

TOR6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
34A. MatthewsC	1:55	22:04	26	1	1	2	4	5	0	0	1	13-10
55N. RoyC	0:51	17:16	25	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	9-9
91J. TavaresC	0:51	18:31	19	1	1	2	5	6	0	0	0	13-3
23M. KniesL	1:45	21:04	23	0	2	2	1	2	0	2	1	–
88W. NylanderR	0:41	21:19	26	2	0	2	3	6	4	0	1	0-2
95O. Ekman-LarssonD	0:51	17:12	22	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	–

Goals

1st
William Nylander(1)
M. Knies (1), M. Rielly (1)
xG 0.09backhandClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 TOR1st 05:00+18.262%
Sebastian Aho(1)PP
N. Ehlers (1), K. Miller (1)
xG 0.08snapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–1 Tied1st 08:34+18.856%
Seth Jarvis(1)
A. Svechnikov (1), A. Nikishin (1)
xG 0.08wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–1 CAR1st 14:31+18.674%
John Tavares(1)
B. McMann (1), N. Robertson (1)
xG 0.29snapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–2 Tied1st 15:31+18.845%
William Nylander(2)PP
J. Tavares (1), A. Matthews (1)
xG 0.05slapClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 TOR1st 19:01+20.966%
2nd
Auston Matthews(1)
J. McCabe (1), M. Knies (2)
xG 0.12wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–4 TOR2nd 11:03+17.287%
Sean Walker(1)
W. Carrier (1)
xG 0.01wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–4 TOR2nd 16:51+17.127%
3rd
Taylor Hall(1)
J. Blake (1), L. Stankoven (1)
xG 0.27wristClip(opens nhl.com)
4–4 Tied3rd 03:20+30.754%
Logan Stankoven(1)
K. Miller (2), N. Ehlers (2)
xG 0.06wristClip(opens nhl.com)
5–4 CAR3rd 12:13+35.989%

Shots

CAR4.33 xG63 unblocked · 26 blocked63 unblocked · 26 blocked

TOR2.02 xG25 unblocked · 10 blocked25 unblocked · 10 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

CARTOR5Goals44.33xG2.0247Shots2063Unblocked2589Attempts357High danger31/4Power play1/330Faceoffs4213Hits2110Blocks266Takeaways312Giveaways108PIM10

Skaters

Player

Player
26S. WalkerSean WalkerD	26:43	1	0	1	2	5	0.12	+0.88	2	2	0	0	—	0	0
19K. MillerK'Andre MillerD	25:33	0	2	2	4	5	0.13	−0.13	0	1	0	1	—	2	+1
20S. AhoSebastian AhoC	20:26	1	0	1	5	7	0.29	+0.71	0	0	0	0	33%	0	+1
24S. JarvisSeth JarvisC	19:59	1	0	1	5	8	0.40	+0.60	1	0	0	0	0%	0	+1
64J. NystromJoel NystromD	19:29	0	0	0	2	7	0.13	−0.13	0	1	0	1	—	0	+1
21A. NikishinAlexander NikishinD	19:08	0	1	1	2	4	0.06	−0.06	1	2	1	2	—	0	+1
37A. SvechnikovAndrei SvechnikovR	17:30	0	1	1	6	8	0.53	−0.53	3	0	0	2	100%	0	+1
48J. MartinookJordan MartinookL	16:52	0	0	0	1	2	0.02	−0.02	1	0	0	0	67%	0	-1
27N. EhlersNikolaj EhlersL	15:59	0	2	2	5	9	0.31	−0.31	0	0	3	2	0%	0	+1
53J. BlakeJackson BlakeR	15:32	0	1	1	3	6	0.70	−0.70	0	0	1	3	—	2	+2
6M. ReillyMike ReillyD	15:23	0	0	0	1	6	0.01	−0.01	1	1	0	0	—	0	-1
11J. StaalJordan StaalC	15:04	0	0	0	0	3	0.17	−0.17	0	1	0	0	60%	2	-1
22L. StankovenLogan StankovenC	14:14	1	1	2	2	4	0.20	+0.80	0	0	0	0	33%	0	+2
71T. HallTaylor HallL	12:59	1	0	1	6	8	0.78	+0.22	0	0	0	0	50%	0	0
28W. CarrierWilliam CarrierL	12:25	0	1	1	1	4	0.32	−0.32	2	0	0	0	—	0	-1
82J. KotkaniemiJesperi KotkaniemiC	9:51	0	0	0	2	2	0.18	−0.18	1	1	0	1	27%	0	-1
50E. RobinsonEric RobinsonL	8:25	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0	—	0	-1
62C. LegaultCharles Alexis LegaultD	7:15	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	−0.01	1	0	1	0	—	2	0
CAR total		5	9	14	47	89	4.33	+0.67	13	9	6	12	42%	8

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Stankoven+0.78

Hall+0.61

Ehlers+0.57

Aho+0.52

Svechnikov+0.41

Blake+0.39

Jarvis+0.38

Carrier+0.36

Kotkaniemi+0.21

Robinson+0.03

Martinook−0.37

Staal−0.46

Defence

Walker+0.54

Miller+0.47

Nikishin+0.03

Nystrom+0.02

Reilly−0.02

Legault−0.09

Goalie

Bussi−1.97

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Carrier·Martinook·Staal	11:06	21	14	8	63.6%	5	6	1	2	0.49	0.46	51.8%	+0.03	2	2	50%
Aho·Jarvis·Svechnikov	9:53	15	13	3	81.3%	7	2	1	0	0.38	0.06	86.6%	+0.32	4	1	80%
Ehlers·Stankoven·Blake	9:00	14	16	4	80.0%	7	1	1	0	0.62	0.01	98.8%	+0.61	2	1	67%
Robinson·Hall·Kotkaniemi	6:19	12	12	6	66.7%	7	4	0	1	0.45	0.51	46.5%	−0.07	2	1	67%
Occasional · 6 groups
Hall·Stankoven·Blake	1:39	6	4	1	80.0%	2	1	1	0	0.64	0.08	88.5%	+0.56	1	0	100%
Hall·Kotkaniemi·Blake	1:06	3	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.03	0.00	100.0%	+0.03	0	0	—
Martinook·Hall·Kotkaniemi	0:53	4	0	1	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Martinook·Hall·Staal	0:50	3	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Ehlers·Robinson·Stankoven	0:37	2	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.09	0.00	100.0%	+0.09	0	0	—
Martinook·Staal·Svechnikov	0:31	6	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.02	0.00	100.0%	+0.02	0	0	—
CAR 5v5	46:12		68	25	73.1%	32	15	4	3	3.04	1.13	72.8%	+1.90

Goalies

Brandon Bussi

CAR · 60:00

Saves: 16/20
SV%: .800
xGA: 2.02
GSAx: −1.98

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	12/15	.800	1.13	−1.87
Power play	4/5	.800	0.89	−0.11
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	2/3	.667	0.71	−0.29

Dennis Hildeby

TOR · 58:30

Saves: 42/47
SV%: .894
xGA: 4.33
GSAx: −0.67

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	28/32	.875	3.04	−0.96
Power play	13/14	.929	1.26	+0.26
Shorthanded	1/1	1.000	0.02	+0.02
High danger	5/6	.833	1.53	+0.53

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Carolina Hurricanes

Minutes

26:43Walker
25:33Miller
19:29Nystrom
19:08Nikishin
15:23Reilly
7:15Legault

20:26Aho
19:59Jarvis
17:30Svechnikov
16:52Martinook
15:59Ehlers
15:32Blake
15:04Staal
14:14Stankoven
12:59Hall
12:25Carrier
9:51Kotkaniemi
8:25Robinson

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareCARTOR

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

MillerD5 O8
NikishinD2 O5
NystromD2 O4
WalkerD6 O7
LegaultD0 O1
ReillyD2 O1
SvechnikovD0 O7
HallD1 O5
EhlersD1 O5
StankovenD1 O5
BlakeD1 O5
AhoD4 O7
JarvisD3 O6
RobinsonD1 O2
KotkaniemiD1 O2
CarrierD2 O2
StaalD4 O2
MartinookD4 O2

Shift starts · darker = later period