OTT @ TBL 5–4 · 2025-10-09

Team	1	2	3	SOG
OTT	1	2	2	34
TBL	3	0	1	25

Story

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Result OTT 5–4xG 3.21–2.34 · deserved OTT 65%Swing Pinto +46 3rd 18:13Method

Goals and penalties with TBL win probability
Time	Event	TBL win before	TBL win after
1st 2:26	OTT penalty · K. MacDermid · fighting · 5 min
1st 2:26	TBL penalty · C. Douglas · fighting · 5 min
1st 4:45	OTT penalty · D. Cozens · holding · 2 min
1st 5:35	Goal TBL · O. Bjorkstrand (PP)	50%	67%
1st 7:00	Goal TBL · B. Point	67%	81%
1st 9:10	TBL penalty · B. Hagel · tripping · 2 min
1st 10:18	Goal OTT · D. Cozens (PP)	81%	67%
1st 12:34	OTT penalty · B. Tkachuk · roughing · 2 min
1st 12:34	TBL penalty · A. Cirelli · roughing · 2 min
1st 12:34	TBL penalty · B. Hagel · roughing · 2 min
1st 12:34	OTT penalty · T. Chabot · roughing · 2 min
1st 12:38	TBL penalty · E. Lilleberg · fighting · 5 min
1st 12:38	OTT penalty · D. Sebrango · fighting · 5 min
1st 12:58	OTT penalty · D. Perron · holding · 2 min
1st 14:46	Goal TBL · N. Kucherov (PP)	68%	82%
1st 15:19	TBL penalty · P. Holmberg · holding · 2 min
2nd 0:42	Goal OTT · A. Zub	84%	69%
2nd 7:53	TBL penalty · M. Chaffee · roughing · 2 min
2nd 15:09	Goal OTT · S. Pinto	74%	50%
2nd 18:31	TBL penalty · M. Chaffee · holding · 2 min
3rd 2:23	OTT penalty · A. Zub · interference · 2 min
3rd 18:13	Goal OTT · S. Pinto	50%	4%
3rd 19:12	Goal OTT · C. Giroux (EN)	2%	1%
3rd 19:46	Goal TBL · N. Kucherov	1%	1%

On ice · final horn

OTT5 skaters

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
12S. PintoC	1:09	19:21	27	2	1	3	2	4	0	0	0	4-3
71R. GreigC	1:09	18:09	27	0	0	0	4	6	0	1	2	1-2
28C. GirouxR	1:09	15:11	22	1	0	1	2	3	0	2	0	2-3
2A. ZubD	0:13	20:44	32	1	2	3	5	9	2	2	0	–
85J. SandersonD	0:13	23:10	31	0	2	2	3	6	0	2	3	–
35L. UllmarkG		59:53	SA25GA4SV%.840xGA2.34GSAx−1.66

TBL6 skaters · net empty

	Shift	TOI	#Sh	G	A	P	SOG	Att	PIM	Hit	Blk	FO
21B. PointC	0:38	19:40	23	1	2	3	1	1	0	0	1	6-8
59J. GuentzelC	1:20	22:32	26	0	2	2	2	2	0	0	2	–
71A. CirelliC	1:14	14:56	22	0	0	0	2	2	2	2	1	9-6
38B. HagelL	0:13	15:40	22	0	0	0	3	6	4	2	0	0-1
86N. KucherovR	1:14	20:55	23	2	0	2	4	9	0	0	0	–
77V. HedmanD	1:20	23:49	26	0	2	2	1	2	0	1	3	–

Goals

1st
Oliver Bjorkstrand(1)PP
J. Guentzel (1), B. Point (1)
xG 0.18snapClip(opens nhl.com)
0–1 TBL1st 05:35+16.667%
Brayden Point(1)
J. Guentzel (2), D. Raddysh (1)
xG 0.07wristClip(opens nhl.com)
0–2 TBL1st 07:00+13.881%
Dylan Cozens(1)PP
B. Tkachuk (1), J. Sanderson (1)
xG 0.05slapClip(opens nhl.com)
1–2 TBL1st 10:18+14.133%
Nikita Kucherov(1)PP
V. Hedman (1), B. Point (2)
xG 0.12wristClip(opens nhl.com)
1–3 TBL1st 14:46+14.482%
2nd
Artem Zub(1)
B. Tkachuk (2), T. Stützle (1)
xG 0.01wristClip(opens nhl.com)
2–3 TBL2nd 00:42+14.831%
Shane Pinto(1)
A. Zub (1), B. Tkachuk (3)
xG 0.15wristClip(opens nhl.com)
3–3 Tied2nd 15:09+23.750%
3rd
Shane Pinto(2)
J. Sanderson (2)
xG 0.07snapClip(opens nhl.com)
4–3 OTT3rd 18:13+45.896%
Claude Giroux(1)EN
S. Pinto (1), A. Zub (2)
xG 0.47wristClip(opens nhl.com)
5–3 OTT3rd 19:12+1.5100%
Nikita Kucherov(2)6v5
D. Raddysh (2), V. Hedman (2)
xG 0.01wristClip(opens nhl.com)
5–4 OTT3rd 19:46+0.11%

Shots

OTT3.21 xG46 unblocked · 21 blocked46 unblocked · 21 blocked

TBL2.34 xG38 unblocked · 11 blocked38 unblocked · 11 blocked

GoalSavedMissedBlockedSize = xG

xG breakdown

GoalIronSaveMissEVPPEASHSize = pony xG · blocked attempts carry none

Team stats

OTTTBL5Goals43.21xG2.3434Shots2546Unblocked3867Attempts497High danger31/4Power play2/330Faceoffs2537Hits4011Blocks212Takeaways413Giveaways1620PIM22

Skaters

Player

Player
85J. SandersonJake SandersonD	23:10	0	2	2	3	6	0.38	−0.38	2	3	0	1	—	0	+3
72T. ChabotThomas ChabotD	22:00	0	0	0	3	6	0.13	−0.13	0	3	0	1	—	2	0
2A. ZubArtem ZubD	20:44	1	2	3	5	9	0.12	+0.88	2	0	0	0	—	2	+4
3N. JensenNick JensenD	19:35	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	2	0	0	2	—	0	-1
7B. TkachukBrady TkachukL	19:24	0	3	3	5	9	0.56	−0.56	3	0	0	2	50%	2	+1
12S. PintoShane PintoC	19:21	2	1	3	2	4	0.24	+1.76	0	0	0	0	57%	0	+2
18T. StützleTim StützleC	19:03	0	1	1	3	7	0.34	−0.34	1	0	1	0	40%	0	+1
22M. AmadioMichael AmadioR	18:54	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	3	1	1	0	0%	0	0
71R. GreigRidly GreigC	18:09	0	0	0	4	6	0.48	−0.48	1	0	0	2	33%	0	+1
20F. ZetterlundFabian ZetterlundL	16:34	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	−0.09	7	1	0	0	—	0	+1
24D. CozensDylan CozensC	15:35	1	0	1	2	4	0.10	+0.90	3	1	0	0	67%	2	-1
28C. GirouxClaude GirouxR	15:11	1	0	1	2	3	0.50	+0.50	2	0	0	1	40%	0	+2
89L. EllerLars EllerC	14:20	0	0	0	1	1	0.05	−0.05	4	1	0	0	71%	0	0
37D. SebrangoDonovan SebrangoD	14:18	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	—	5	-1
33N. MatinpaloNikolas MatinpaloD	13:35	0	0	0	1	4	0.01	−0.01	1	0	0	0	—	0	-1
57D. PerronDavid PerronL	12:37	0	0	0	2	3	0.16	−0.16	1	0	0	1	—	2	-1
21N. CousinsNick CousinsC	10:46	0	0	0	1	1	0.04	−0.04	3	0	0	2	—	0	0
23K. MacDermidKurtis MacDermidL	2:13	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1	0	0	0	—	5	0
OTT total		5	9	14	34	67	3.21	+1.79	37	10	2	12	55%	20

Pony score

Cool = offence · warm = defenceProductionPlay drivingSpecial teamsUsageMethod

Forwards

Pinto+1.62

Tkachuk+1.12

Cozens+0.41

Zetterlund−0.04

MacDermid−0.05

Giroux−0.17

Eller−0.17

Cousins−0.22

Stützle−0.27

Greig−0.28

Perron−0.39

Amadio−0.40

Defence

Sanderson+0.77

Zub+0.68

Chabot+0.27

Matinpalo−0.17

Jensen−0.18

Sebrango−0.19

Goalie

Ullmark−1.65

Units

5v5

Lines

Lines
Tkachuk·Zetterlund·Stützle	10:48	18	22	14	61.1%	10	7	1	0	0.86	0.51	63.0%	+0.35	3	0	100%
Pinto·Greig·Giroux	9:04	18	12	4	75.0%	6	2	1	0	0.62	0.17	78.3%	+0.45	2	0	100%
Perron·Cozens·Amadio	7:42	12	5	8	38.5%	3	5	0	0	0.20	0.27	41.7%	−0.08	2	2	50%
Cousins·Eller·Amadio	5:31	10	2	2	50.0%	1	0	0	0	0.04	0.03	58.7%	+0.01	0	1	0%
Occasional · 8 groups
MacDermid·Cousins·Eller	1:53	6	0	1	0.0%	0	1	0	0	0.00	0.03	0.0%	−0.03	1	0	100%
Cousins·Greig·Eller	1:05	3	1	0	100.0%	1	0	0	0	0.01	0.00	100.0%	+0.01	0	1	0%
Zetterlund·Perron·Cozens	0:56	2	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	1	0	100%
Zetterlund·Cousins·Eller	0:52	3	1	0	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	1	0%
Tkachuk·Stützle·Amadio	0:51	5	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
Greig·Eller·Amadio	0:39	2	2	0	100.0%	2	0	0	0	0.06	0.00	100.0%	+0.06	0	0	—
Tkachuk·Perron·Cozens	0:38	1	2	1	66.7%	0	1	0	1	0.19	0.07	72.5%	+0.11	0	0	—
Cousins·Eller·Giroux	0:33	1	0	0	—	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	—	0.00	0	0	—
OTT 5v5	47:03		54	38	58.7%	27	19	3	1	2.30	1.54	59.8%	+0.76

Goalies

Linus Ullmark

OTT · 59:53

Saves: 21/25
SV%: .840
xGA: 2.34
GSAx: −1.66

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	18/20	.900	1.55	−0.45
Power play	3/5	.600	0.79	−1.21
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	1/2	.500	0.57	−0.43

Andrei Vasilevskiy

TBL · 58:56

Saves: 29/33
SV%: .879
xGA: 2.74
GSAx: −1.26

Facing	Saves	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Even	24/27	.889	2.30	−0.70
Power play	5/6	.833	0.44	−0.56
Shorthanded	0/0	—	0.00	0.00
High danger	4/4	1.000	1.02	+1.02

Lines

His goal Primary assist Goal for Goal against Time together ES PP PK minutes

Ottawa Senators

Minutes

23:10Sanderson
22:00Chabot
20:44Zub
19:35Jensen
14:18Sebrango
13:35Matinpalo

19:24Tkachuk
19:21Pinto
19:03Stützle
18:54Amadio
18:09Greig
16:34Zetterlund
15:35Cozens
15:11Giroux
14:20Eller
12:37Perron
10:46Cousins
2:13MacDermid

Matchups

5v5Size = time head to headSplit = xG shareOTTTBL

Zone starts

DZD zoneNZ · flyNeutral · flyOZO zone

ChabotD1 O6
JensenD2 O5
SebrangoD1 O1
MatinpaloD1 O1
SandersonD3 O2
ZubD3 O0
TkachukD0 O6
StützleD0 O5
ZetterlundD0 O4
GirouxD1 O3
PerronD2 O4
CozensD3 O5
MacDermidD0 O1
PintoD4 O5
CousinsD2 O1
AmadioD4 O2
GreigD5 O3
EllerD5 O1

Shift starts · darker = later period